To the overview
Build · Survey · Analyze · Report
01
Chapter 1 · Introductory Course

Principles of
Survey Research

Market research, survey methodology and their practical application — from research problem to results report.

Dr. Paul Marx · QUESTIONSTAR
Slide 01 · 261
Build · Survey · Analyze · Report
1
Chapter 1 · Introductory Course

Principles of Survey Research

Market research, survey methodology and their practical application — from research problem to results report.

Dr. Paul Marx · QUESTIONSTAR
Slide 01 · 261
Build · Survey · Analyze · Report
Chapter 1 · Introductory Course

Principles of
Survey Research

Market research, survey methodology and their practical application — from research problem to results report.

Dr. Paul Marx · QUESTIONSTAR
Slide 01 · 261
Build · Survey · Analyze · Report

Chapter 1 · Introductory Course

Principles of
Survey Research

Methodologically sound. Practically applicable.

Market research, survey methodology and their practical application — from research problem to results report.

Dr. Paul Marx · QUESTIONSTAR
Chapter 1 · Introduction Table of Contents

Contents


01 Introduction
1.1Market Research and Survey
1.2Types of Market Research
02 Survey: Measurement and Scaling
2.1Introduction
2.2Comparative Scales
2.3Non-Comparative Scales
2.4Latent Constructs
2.5Reliability and Validity
03 Questionnaire
3.1Asking Questions
3.2Overcoming Inability to Answer
3.3Overcoming Unwillingness to Answer
3.4Increasing Willingness of Respondents
3.5Determining the Order of Questions
3.6What's Next?
04 Sampling
4.1Non-probability Sampling
4.2Probability Sampling
4.3Choosing Non-probability vs. Probability Sampling
4.4Sample Size
05 Data Analysis: A Concise Overview of Statistical Techniques
5.1Descriptive Statistics: Organizing and Presenting Data
5.1.1Organizing Qualitative Data
5.1.2Organizing Quantitative Data
5.1.3Summarizing Data Numerically
5.1.4Cross-Tabulations
5.2Inferential Statistics: Can the results be generalized to the population?
5.2.1Hypothesis Testing
5.2.2Strength of a Relationship in Cross-Tabulation
5.2.3Relationship between Two (Ratio Scaled) Variables
06 Advanced Techniques of Market Analysis: Some Useful Concepts
6.1Conjoint Analysis
6.2Market Simulations
6.3Segmentation
6.4Perceptual Positioning Maps
07 Reporting Results
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 02 / 274
Chapter 1 Section Overview
1
Chapter

Introduction

1.1Market Research and Survey
1.2Types of Market Research
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 03 / 274
Chapter 1 · Introduction Section Overview
1
Chapter

Introduction

1.1Market Research and Survey
1.2Types of Market Research
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 04 / 274
1.1 · Market Research and Survey Definitions

What is Research?


Research is

All systematic endeavors and efforts to acquire new knowledge for science or industry.

— Encyclopedia
Research is

The search for and collection of information and ideas in response to a specific question.

— Practical definition
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 05 / 274
1.1 · Market Research and Survey Definition

Survey


Survey

A survey is one of the most popular methods of collecting primary data, in which the researcher interacts with respondents to obtain information about people's attitudes, opinions, knowledge and behaviors.

1Attitudes & Opinions — how people think and judge
2Knowledge — what people know and understand
3Behaviors — what people actually do
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 06 / 274
Iceberg metaphor: the decision maker on the ship sees only the visible symptoms; the researcher dives down to the actual problem.
1.1 · Market Research and Survey Understanding the Problem

Market Research

Decision Maker Decision Problem Researcher Dissatisfied customers Declining market share Falling sales Low traffic Above WaterVisible and measurable symptoms Borderline performance of the sales team Poor delivery service Inadequate product quality Unethical treatment of customers Poor image Below WaterThe actual business or decision problem
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 07 / 274
1.1 · Market Research and Survey Fields of Application

Practical Application of Surveys


DisciplineApplication
Sociology and Political Science Opinion research, identifying the attitudes of population groups toward socially significant phenomena, events and facts; election research (e.g. the "Sunday question"), …
Psychology Personality tests, intelligence tests, identifying individual strengths and weaknesses, psychological stability, cognitive disorders, social influences, …
Human Resources Measuring employee satisfaction, loyalty, potential, personality traits, leadership qualities, productivity, professional aptitude, stress resistance, work-life balance, …
Marketing Market and consumer research, measuring image perception, preferences, satisfaction and loyalty (NPS), willingness to pay; segmentation, positioning, pricing, advertising tests, website usability, …
Science (in general) Studying relationships between two or more variables, factors, phenomena; developing scales and methods for scientific and practical purposes, …
Education Knowledge tests (multiple-choice exams), student and teacher evaluation; large-scale educational studies (e.g. PISA), …
… and many further fields of application
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 08 / 274
1.1 · Market Research and Survey Process Model

Market Research Process — the "5 D's"


D1Definition Phase
  • Identify information needs
  • Define the research problem and questions
  • Set research objectives
  • Assess the value of information
D2Design Phase
  • Budget
  • Data sources
  • Research methods
  • Sampling plan
  • Contact methods
  • Methods of data analysis
D3Data Collection Phase
  • Collect data according to the plan
  • or commission an external service provider
D4Data Analysis Phase
  • Analyze data statistically and subjectively
  • Derive answers and implications
D5Data Interpretation Phase
  • Formulate the results of the data analysis
  • Prepare the research report
Results have no practical value if the research problem is only vaguely defined.
The plan must be set in advance, yet flexible — so that necessary adjustments can be built in.
This phase is very costly and very error-prone.
The choice of data analysis method depends essentially on the type of research.
Present actionable key findings rather than overwhelming statistical methods.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 09 / 274
1.1 · Market Research and Survey Limits of Market Research

When should you not start market research projects?


CaseComment
Vague objectivesWhen managers cannot agree on what information they need to make a decision. Market research only helps when it investigates a concrete question.
Fixed stanceWhen the decision has already been made and the study is only meant to "rubber-stamp" a preconceived plan.
Too lateWhen results are provided too late to still influence the decision.
Poor timingWhen a product is in its decline phase, there is little point in researching new product variations.
Insufficient resourcesIt is not worthwhile to set up a quantitative study as long as no statistically significant sample is feasible — or when the finances are not enough to implement the resulting decisions.
Costs outweigh benefitsThe expected value of information should exceed the costs of data collection and analysis.
Results not actionableWhen, for example, psychographic characteristics are used that do not help in making concrete decisions.
Information not neededWhen decision-relevant information is already available.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 10 / 274
Chapter 1 · Introduction Section Overview
1
Chapter

Introduction

1.1Market Research and Survey
1.2Types of Market Research
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 11 / 274
1.2 · Types of Market Research Three classifying criteria

Types of Market Research


Criterion 1
By Objectives
Exploratoryalso diagnostic
Descriptive
Causalalso predictive, experimental
Criterion 2
By Data Source
Primarydata collected yourself
Secondarydata already available
Criterion 3
By Methodology
Qualitativeunderstand
Quantitativemeasure
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 12 / 274
1.2 · Types of Market Research By Research Objectives

Market Research by Objectives


Uncertainty shapes the type of market research
Uncertain
Certain
Low clarity
Exploratory
also diagnostic
Problem not yet precisely defined; hypotheses are formed.
Analyzing data and actions to understand problems better
  • What reasons might lie behind the declining customer satisfaction?
  • What keeps first-time buyers from buying again?
Medium clarity
Descriptive
Phenomena are systematically described and measured.
Collecting and presenting facts: who, what, when, where, how?
  • What does the historical sales trend in the industry look like?
  • What are consumers' attitudes toward our product?
High clarity
Causal
also predictive, experimental
Cause-and-effect relationships are tested.
Analyzing cause-and-effect relationships — “What if?”
  • Predicting the outcomes of marketing actions
  • Effect of advertising spend on sales (how much does one advertising euro yield?)
Smaller surveys, focus groups, interviews
Larger surveys, observation, etc.
Experiments, A/B tests, consumer panels
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 13 / 274
1.2 · Types of Market Research By Data Source

Market Research by Data Source


Data sourcePrimary
  • Generating data that do not yet exist. These data are analyzed and may, where applicable, be published by the researcher.
Typical methodsSurveys, interviews, observation, experiments, …
Data sourceSecondary
  • Using data collected at an earlier point in time for the intended research purpose.
Typical methodsLiterature research: library, web, database, archive
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 14 / 274
1.2 · Types of Market Research By Methodology

Market Research by Methodology


MethodologyQuantitative
  • Involves collecting and evaluating data
  • Requires large amounts of data, uses statistical methods
  • Aims for representativeness of the results
Typical methodsLarger surveys, observation, etc.
MethodologyQualitative
  • Seeks to understand consumer behavior and its causes
  • Focus on individuals and small groups
  • Not representative — understanding one perspective, not all
Typical methodsSmaller surveys, focus groups, interviews, …
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 15 / 274
1.2 · Types of Market Research Combining methods

Triangulation


Triangulation — combining methods within a study on the same topic.

Robson (1998) · Visocky & Visocky (2009)

Venn diagram: three methods overlap, their shared intersection leads to the truth. ObjectiveTruth Literature research Survey Interview
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 16 / 274
Chaotically swirling light trails in the triangulation colors red, green and blue.
1.2 · Types of Market Research Method ideal vs. reality
So much for the theory …

But in reality everything is messier.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 17 / 274
Chapter 1 · Part 2 Section Overview
2
Part

Survey: Measurement and Scaling

2.1Introduction
2.2Comparative Scales
2.3Non-Comparative Scales
2.4Latent Constructs
2.5Reliability and Validity
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 18 / 274
Chapter 1 · Part 2 Section Overview
2
Part

Survey: Measurement and Scaling

2.1Introduction
2.2Comparative Scales
2.3Non-Comparative Scales
2.4Latent Constructs
2.5Reliability and Validity
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 19 / 274
2.1 · Introduction Basic concepts

Measurement


An orange wrapped by a tape measure — an image of measurement.
Measurement

Measurement — assigning numbers or other symbols to characteristics of objects according to a specific, predefined rule.

1One-to-one correspondence of the numbers and the quantities to be measured
2Standardized rules for assigning the numbers
3Rules must not vary from object to object or over time
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 20 / 274
2.1 · Introduction Basic Concepts

Scaling


Scaling — involves a continuum on which the measured objects are placed.

Chocolate
Chocolate
Apple
Apple
Chips
Chips
Licorice
Licorice
Extremely tasty Extremely nasty
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 21 / 274
2.1 · Introduction Measurement and Scaling

Primary Scales of Measurement


Nominal
  • Numbers merely serve to classify the objects
  • non-continuous scale
Ordinal
  • Numbers indicate the relative positions of the objects
  • but not the magnitude of the difference between them
Interval
quasi-metric
  • Differences between objects can be compared
  • zero point arbitrary
Ratio
also metric
  • zero point uniquely fixed
  • Ratios of the scale values can be computed
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 22 / 274
2.1 · Introduction Levels of Measurement

Some Commonly Used Scales in Marketing


Scale Description Common Examples Examples from Marketing Statistical Measures
Descriptive Inferential
Nominal Scale Assignment of numbers to identify and/or classify objects Passport number, football player's number, gender Brand, gender, occupation, type of venue Percentages, mode Chi-square, binomial test
Ordinal Scale Numbers describe the rank order of the objects, but not the extent of the differences between them School grades, position of runners in a marathon Preference ranking, market position, social class Percentiles, median Rank correlation coefficient (Spearman's ρ), Friedman ANOVA
Interval Scale Allows comparison of the differences between objects; zero point arbitrary Temperature (Fahrenheit, Celsius) Attitudes, opinions, purchase intention, customer satisfaction, index numbers Range, average, standard deviation Product-moment correlation (Pearson's r), t-tests, ANOVA, regression and factor analysis
Ratio Scale Zero point is uniquely fixed; allows comparison of both the distances between measured values and their ratios Length, weight, time, money Age, revenue, income, costs, market share Geometric mean, harmonic mean Coefficient of variation
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 23 / 274
2.1 · Introduction Overview

Classification of Scaling Techniques


Root
Scaling
Comparative Scales
Objects are compared directly with one another
Paired Comparison Rank Order Scaling Constant Sum Scaling Q-Sort Scaling & others
Non-Comparative Scales
Each object is judged in isolation
Continuous Rating Scales
Itemized Rating Scales
Likert Scale Semantic Differential Stapel Scale
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 24 / 274
2.1 · Introduction Comparison

Comparison of Scaling Techniques


Direct
Comparative Scales

The measured value of an object results from the direct comparison with another object.

Data can only be interpreted as relative positions — ordinal ordinal level of measurement only (rank order).

Isolated
Non-Comparative Scales

Each object is judged in isolation — that is, independently of other objects.

Measurement results are usually treated as intervalscaled or metric.

The choice between the scaling techniques depends on:
Nature of the research question Variability of the measured value in the population Methods of data analysis
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 25 / 274
Chapter 1 · Part 2 Section Overview
2
Part

Survey: Measurement and Scaling

2.1Introduction
2.2Comparative Scales
2.3Non-Comparative Scales
2.4Latent Constructs
2.5Reliability and Validity
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 26 / 274
2.2 · Comparative Scales Focus

Classification of Scaling Techniques


Root
Scaling
Comparative Scales
Objects are compared directly with one another
Paired Comparison Rank Order Scaling Constant Sum Scaling Q-Sort Scaling & others
Non-Comparative Scales
Each object is judged in isolation
Continuous Rating Scales
Itemized Rating Scales
Likert Scale Semantic Differential Stapel Scale
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 27 / 274
2.2 · Comparative Scales Assessment

Pros-and-Cons of Comparative Scales


+

Pros

  • Small differences between objects can be registered
  • The same known reference points for all respondents
  • Easy to understand and use
  • Require fewer theoretical assumptions
  • Tend to reduce halo and carryover effects

Cons

  • Only ordinal or rank-order level of measurement → limited choice of statistical methods for data analysis
  • Data can only be interpreted as relative positions
  • Impossible to generalize beyond the set of objects rated
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 28 / 274
2.2 · Comparative Scales Method

Comparative Scales: Paired Comparison


i

Paired Comparison

For each pair of two objects, respondents select the one that in their opinion best fulfills a given criterion.

Below you are presented with ten pairs of beer brands. In each pair, please select the beer you would rather buy.

Warsteiner
Köstritzer
Oettinger
Becks
Paulaner
Warsteiner
Köstritzer
Oettinger
Becks
Paulaner
# times preferred
3
2
0
4
1
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 29 / 274
2.2 · Comparative Scales Practical Example

Comparative Scales: Paired Comparison


If these two computers were equal in everything else — which would you prefer?
Pair 3 of 10
Computer on the left
1 TB SSD
128 GB RAM
Computer on the right
2 TB SSD
36 GB RAM
Clearly prefer left Somewhat left Neutral Somewhat right Clearly prefer right
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 30 / 274
2.2 · Comparative Scales Evaluation

Paired Comparison: Pros-and-Cons


+

Pros

  • Direct comparison and unambiguous choice
  • Good for blind tests, product comparisons and MDS
  • Allows calculating the percentage of respondents who prefer one object
  • Rank order can be estimated (assuming transitivity)
  • Possible extensions: "no difference" option, graded comparison

Cons

  • Number of comparisons grows faster than the number of objects — for n objects n(n−1)/2 comparisons
  • Order effects possible (influence of presentation order)
  • Preferring A over B does not mean the respondent likes A
  • Not very realistic for real choice situations with multiple alternatives
  • Violation of the transitivity assumption possible
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 31 / 274
2.2 · Comparative Scales Ordinal Data

Violations of transitivity in paired comparison


Same respondent, same pairing — and yet contradictory answers:

Comparison 1 Apple > Tomato
Comparison 2 Tomato > Apple

From "Apple ≻ Tomato" and "Tomato ≻ Apple" no rank order can be formed — the preferences are contradictory (intransitive).

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 32 / 274
2.2 · Comparative Scales Ordinal Data

Violations of transitivity when aggregating preferences


Respondent #1
1Apple
2Tomato
3Orange
Respondent #2
1Tomato
2Orange
3Apple
Respondent #3
1Orange
2Apple
3Tomato
Vote count
AppleTomato2 : 1
TomatoOrange2 : 1
OrangeApple2 : 1

Apple ≻ Tomato ≻ Orange ≻ Apple. Apple is simultaneously the most and the least preferred — the group preferences are inconsistent!

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 33 / 274
2.2 · Comparative Scales Method

Comparative Scales: Rank Order Scaling


i

Rank Order Scaling

Respondents put several objects into an order — based on a particular criterion.

Please arrange the soft-drink brands listed below according to your preferences. To do so, first select the brand you prefer most and assign it rank 1. Then assign rank 2 to the second-best brand. Continue rating until you have assigned a rank to all brands. The last, least preferred brand must be given rank 5.

No two brands may receive the same rank.

The preference criterion is entirely up to you. There are no right or wrong answers. Just try to be consistent.

BrandRank
Pepsi-Cola_________
Coca-Cola_________
Red Bull_________
Sprite_________
7-Up_________
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 34 / 274
2.2 · Comparative Scales Practical Example

Rank Order Scales: Example


What would you like for your birthday?
Drag each item into the matching area — rank 1 = most wanted.
Top-3 Wish List
1
Smartwatch
Smartwatch
2
Game console
Game console
3
Smartphone
Smartphone
I wouldn't want it
Wireless headphones
Wireless headphones
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 35 / 274
2.2 · Comparative Scales Practical Example

Rank Order Scales: Examples


Drag & DropSelect & order top 3
"What matters most to you when shopping? Rank the 3 most important reasons."
Available options
Opening hours
Customer service
Return policy
Your ranking
1
Selection
2
Online offering
3
Price
Rank MatrixClick the rank in each row
"Put the topic areas into your order (1–6)."
123456
Communication & Media2
Digital media technology6
Internet3
Office peripherals4
IT security5
Software & system integration1
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 36 / 274
2.2 · Comparative Scales Practical Example

Rank Order Scales: Example


Which fruit do you like most? — Drag the fruits onto the scale.
Drag & Drop
OrangeOrange
KiwiKiwi
AppleApple
BananaBanana
StrawberryStrawberry
Not at allVery much
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 37 / 274
2.2 · Comparative Scales Evaluation

Rank Order Scales: Pros-and-Cons


+

Pros

  • Direct comparison
  • More realistic than paired comparisons
    • Number of comparisons is only (n − 1)
    • Easier to understand
    • Takes less time
    • No non-transitive answers
    • Data can be converted into paired comparisons
  • Good for measuring brand and attribute preferences

Cons

  • Preferring A over B does not mean the respondent likes A
  • No zero point — no separation between liking and disliking
  • Only ordinal data
  • Violation of the transitivity assumption possible (when aggregating)
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 38 / 274
2.2 · Comparative Scales Method

Comparative Scales: Constant Sum Scaling


i

Constant Sum Scaling

Respondents distribute a fixed amount (e.g. points, euros, chips, %) entirely across a set of objects — according to a particular criterion.

Listed below are five attributes of cars. Please distribute 100 points across these attributes so that the number of points you assign to an attribute reflects its relative importance to you. The more points an attribute receives, the more important it is to you. If an attribute is unimportant to you, assign it 0 points. If one attribute is twice as important as another, assign it twice as many points.

AttributePoints
Speed0
Comfort15
Transmission type (manual/automatic)5
Fuel (petrol/diesel)35
Price45
Sum100
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 39 / 274
2.2 · Comparative Scales Average rating across three segments

Constant Sum Scaling: Example of Analysis


AttributeSegment 1Segment 2Segment 3
Speed 0 17 53
Comfort 15 23 30
Transmission (manual/automatic) 5 21 10
Fuel (petrol/diesel) 35 12 7
Price 45 27 0
Sum 100100100
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 40 / 274
2.2 · Comparative Scales Practical Application

Constant Sum Scaling: Example


Which features of a rental car are most important to you? Distribute €100 among them.
Sum: 100 / 100 €
0 €
left
Reset
Full comprehensive insurance
25 €
Air conditioning
20 €
Navigation (GPS)
15 €
Car max. 3 years old
10 €
Partial comprehensive insurance
10 €
Fuel choice (petrol/diesel)
5 €
CD player
5 €
Radio
5 €
Sunroof
5 €
Area map
0 €
Return instructions
0 €
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 41 / 274
2.2 · Comparative Scales Practical Application

Constant Sum Scaling: Examples


SliderDrag on scale
"What share of your purchases goes to …?"
Cosmetics
25 %
Women's fashion
20 %
Men's fashion
15 %
Shoes
25 %
Other
15 %
Total100 / 100 %
Input fieldType in values
"How do you distribute 100% of your monthly budget?"
Housing40
Food25
Leisure20
Other15
Remaining0
Click barsClick on bar
"How is your internet usage distributed?"
private
63 %
work
37 %
Total100 %
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 42 / 274
2.2 · Comparative Scales Assessment

Constant Sum Scaling: Pros-and-Cons


+

Pros

  • Can measure small differences between objects without taking up too much time
  • Metrically scaled → flexible choice of analysis methods

Cons

  • Results are limited to the list of objects rated — no statements about objects outside the list
  • Relatively high cognitive load on respondents, especially with long lists
    • Prone to arithmetic errors (e.g. distribution of 108 or 94 points)
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 43 / 274
2.2 · Comparative Scales Method

Comparative Scales: Q-Sort Scaling


i

Q-Sort Scaling

A rank-order procedure in which objects are sorted into piles (with respect to a specific attribute). Used to quickly compare a large number of objects (60–140) against each other.

The number of objects per pile is limited such that all piles together reproduce the shape of a normal distribution.

The Ministry of Health has developed 25 measures for implementation in hospitals. Rank them by their effectiveness against the spread of infection — please only one measure per box.

1
2
3
4
5
4
3
2
1
Extremely effective Not at all effective
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 44 / 274
Chapter 1 · Part 2 Section Overview
2
Part

Survey: Measurement and Scaling

2.1Introduction
2.2Comparative Scales
2.3Non-Comparative Scales
2.4Latent Constructs
2.5Reliability and Validity
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 45 / 274
2.3 · Non-Comparative Scales Focus

Classification of Scaling Techniques


Root
Scaling
Comparative Scales
Objects are compared directly with one another
Paired Comparison Rank Order Scaling Constant Sum Scaling Q-Sort Scaling & others
Non-Comparative Scales
Each object is judged in isolation
Continuous Rating Scales
Itemized Rating Scales
Likert Scale Semantic Differential Stapel Scale
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 46 / 274
2.3 · Non-Comparative Scales Definition & Variants

Continuous Rating Scale


i

Continuous Rating Scale

Respondents rate objects by marking a corresponding position on a line that runs from one extreme to the other of a given criterion.

How do you rate "Real" as a grocery store?
Version 1
Probably the worst
Probably the best
Version 2
Probably the worst
020406080100
Probably the best
Version 3
Probably the worst
very badneithervery good
Probably the best
Version 4
Probably the worst
very badneithervery good
76
Probably the best
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 47 / 274
2.3 · Non-Comparative Scales Continuous Rating Scale · Application

Perception Analyzer


During the presentation of a stimulus — e.g. a TV commercial — each participant turns a dial. This creates a continuous rating in real time, second by second — aggregated across all participants and broken down by segments.

Dial handset
Dial handset
Perception Analyzer results: approval curves over the spot duration
Aggregated real-time curves over the spot duration — broken down by segments (0 = "Not Appealing" … 100 = "Very Appealing").
Participants rate live with dial handsets
Participants rate live during the presentation.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 48 / 274
2.3 · Non-Comparative Scales Itemized Rating Scales

Likert Scale


i

Likert Scale

Respondents indicate the extent to which they agree with the listed statements — using a 5- or 7-point scale that ranges from one extreme to the other.

Below are various statements about "Real". Please indicate how strongly you agree with these statements:

Strongly disagree Disagree Neutral Agree Strongly agree
Real sells high-quality goods
Real has poor service reversed
I enjoy shopping at Real
Real offers a mix of different brands
The credit policy at Real is terrible reversed
I don't like Real's advertising reversed
The prices at Real are fair

Important: Statements 2, 5 and 6 are reversed in wording. Before data analysis, these scales must be recoded — a higher number should always mean a better attitude.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 49 / 274
2.3 · Non-Comparative Scales Likert Scale · in online surveys

Likert Scale: Examples


Format · Radio buttons
Overall, how satisfied are you with our customer service?
Very
dissatisfied
Dissatisfied
Neither
Satisfied
Very
satisfied
Format · Segmented buttons
"The ordering process was easy." — How much do you agree?
Strongly disagree
Somewhat disagree
Neither
Somewhat agree
Strongly agree
Format · Numbered scale
How important is free return shipping to you?
1 2 3 4 5
Not at all importantVery important
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 50 / 274
2.3 · Non-Comparative Scales Likert Scale · Standard Wordings

Some Commonly Used Scales in Marketing


Construct 12345
Attitude Very badBadNeither good nor badGoodVery good
Importance Not at all importantUnimportantNeutralImportantVery important
Satisfaction Very dissatisfiedDissatisfiedNeither satisfied nor dissatisfiedSatisfiedVery satisfied
Purchase probability(Purchase intention) Definitely notProbably notUndecidedProbably yesDefinitely yes
Purchase frequency NeverRarelySometimesOftenVery often
Agreement Strongly disagreeSomewhat disagreeNeither agree nor disagreeSomewhat agreeStrongly agree

Scale points from 1 (lowest level) to 5 (highest level).

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 51 / 274
2.3 · Non-Comparative Scales Itemized Rating Scales

Semantic Differential


i

Semantic Differential

A bipolar rating scale whose extremes are described by opposing adjectives. It allows the measurement of multidimensional attitudes and their profile representation.

How do you rate the appearance of “Kaufhof”? Please mark to what extent you lean more toward one pole or the other.

Kaufhof is …

Strong
Weak
Unreliable
Reliable
Modern
Old-fashioned
Cold
Warm
Careful
Careless

Note: The negative adjectives sometimes appear on the left, sometimes on the right. This makes it possible to check afterwards whether respondents thoughtlessly always marked the same side without reading the adjectives.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 52 / 274
2.3 · Non-Comparative Scales Semantic Differential · Profile

Semantic Differential: Profile


i

Profile representation

Measures self-assessment as well as attitudes toward people or products. Each point corresponds to the mean or median of the respective scale — connecting the points yields the profile.

High
Strong
Reliable
Cold
Modern
Good
Friendly
Ugly
Active
Young
Cautious
Small
Gentle
Rugged
Modest
Low
Weak
Unreliable
Hot
Slow
Bad
Hostile
Beautiful
Passive
Old
Careless
Large
Repulsive
Sensitive
Showy

Example profile of an object — seven levels between the opposing poles.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 53 / 274
2.3 · Non-Comparative Scales Semantic Differential · Brand Comparison

Semantic Differential Scale: Example


i

Profile comparison

Semantic profiles of the shampoo brands “Herbal Magic” and “Elseve” compared to the ideal shampoo from the consumers' point of view.

Elseve Herbal Magic Ideal shampoo
Cheap
Natural ingredients
Attractive
Available everywhere
Smells good
Has conditioner
Well-known brand
Suitable for frequent use
Effect of shine & cleanliness
Easy to use
Expensive
No natural ingredients
Unattractive
Hard to find
Smells bad
No conditioner
Unknown brand
Unsuitable
No effect
Complicated to use
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 54 / 274
2.3 · Non-Comparative Scales Itemized Rating Scales

Stapel Scale


i

Stapel Scale

A unipolar rating scale with 10 categories from −5 to +5, without a neutral point (0).

It is often used as an alternative to the semantic differential when no meaningful pair of opposing adjectives can be found.

Plus number = the phrase applies, minus number = it does not apply. The larger the magnitude, the stronger.

How accurately do the following phrases describe the store “Real”? For each phrase, choose a number between +5 (fully applies) and −5 (does not apply at all).

+5 +4 +3 +2 +1
High quality
-1 -2 -3 -4 -5
+5 +4 +3 +2 +1
Poor service
-1 -2 -3 -4 -5
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 55 / 274
2.3 · Non-Comparative Scales Overview

Basic Non-Comparative Scales


Scale Description Examples Pros Cons
Continuous Rating Scales Mark on a continuous line Reactions to TV commercials Easy to construct Manual (non-computer-based) analysis can be very tedious
Likert Scalediscrete Degree of agreement on a scale from 1 (strongly disagree) to 5 (strongly agree) Measuring attitudes Easy to understand, use and construct More time-consuming
Semantic Differentialdiscrete Bipolar, seven-point rating scale with opposing adjectives at the poles Brand, product and company image Versatile No indication of whether the data are interval-scaled
Stapel Scalediscrete Unipolar ten-point scale from −5 to +5 without a neutral point (0) Measuring attitudes and image Easy to construct and to use in telephone surveys Sometimes confusing and difficult to apply
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 56 / 274
2.3 · Non-Comparative Scales Five Design Questions

Constructing Itemized Rating Scales


1
Number of Scale Categories
There is no single optimal number — traditionally, scales with five to nine categories are used.
2
Balanced vs. Unbalanced
In general, the scale should be balanced in order to obtain objective results.
3
Even vs. Odd Number
If a neutral or indifferent response is a viable option for some respondents, an odd number of categories should be chosen.
4
Forced vs. Non-Forced Response
If some respondents may have no opinion, non-forced questions improve the accuracy of the results.
5
Labeling the Scale Points
Not every point needs to be labeled — the key is to avoid ambiguity and to clearly name both poles (and, with an odd number, the midpoint as well).
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 57 / 274
2.3 · Constructing Rating Scales Design Question 1

Number of Scale Categories


1
Number of Scale Categories
There is no single optimal number — traditionally, scales with five to nine categories are used.

More categories capture finer differences — but most respondents can only handle a few categories.

Involvement & Knowledge

morewhen respondents are interested in the rating or have deep knowledge of the object.

Nature of the Objects

morewhen fine differences are characteristic of the objects.

Mode of Data Collection

fewerin telephone interviews, where scales are harder to keep track of.

Data Analysis

fewerfor aggregation & group comparisons · morefor sophisticated, correlation-based statistics.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 58 / 274
2.3 · Constructing Rating Scales Design Question 2

Balanced or Unbalanced Scales


2
Balanced vs. Unbalanced
In general, the scale should be balanced in order to obtain objective results.
Balanced scale
Very good
Good
Neither good nor bad
Bad
Very bad
2 positive · 1 neutral · 2 negative — symmetrical.
Unbalanced scale
Extremely good
Very good
Good
Adequate
Bad
Very bad
4 positive · 2 negative — skewed toward positive judgments.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 59 / 274
2.3 · Constructing Rating Scales Design Question 3

Even or Odd Number of Scale Categories


3
Even vs. Odd Number
If a neutral or indifferent response is a viable option for some respondents, an odd number of categories should be chosen.

Odd number — with a midpoint

Strongly disagree
Disagree
Neutral
Agree
Strongly agree
Allows a neutral response

Even number — without a midpoint

Strongly disagree
Disagree
Agree
Strongly agree
Forces a leaning

The middle option attracts many undecided respondents — and those who are reluctant to reveal their opinion.

This can bias the measures of central tendency and variance.

Do we want or need “contrast” on controversial attitudes?

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 60 / 274
2.3 · Construction of Rating Scales Design Question 4

Forced or Non-Forced Response?


4
Forced vs. Non-Forced Response
When some respondents cannot have an opinion, non-forced questions improve the accuracy of the results.

Do respondents not want to answer — or do they simply have no opinion?

"Don't know" / "Not applicable"

Use for factual questions and knowledge questions.
Not when measuring attitudes and opinions.

Skip logic

Deliberately steer so that respondents only get questions they can actually answer — rather than forcing responses.

Rule of thumb: Questions without a "don't know" tend to yield more accurate data — but only if respondents actually have an opinion.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 61 / 274
2.3 · Construction of Rating Scales Design Question 5

Labeling the Scale Points


5
Labeling the Scale Points
Not every point needs to be labeled — what matters is avoiding ambiguity and clearly naming both poles (and, with an odd number, the midpoint).

Should every scale point be labeled — or are a few selected points enough?

All or just some?

No clear evidence that labeling all points is better than only selected ones — the research shows no substantial difference.

Too much confuses

Too many, too finely differentiated labels can confuse respondents when terms can barely be told apart (e.g. "somewhat positive" vs. "fairly positive").

Decisive: clarity

Avoid ambiguity. Clearly name both poles, and with an odd number also the midpoint — it must be clear which continuum the scale represents.

Little space

Reduced labeling is especially useful with sliders or matrix questions, where full labeling quickly becomes cluttered.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 62 / 274
2.3 · Construction of Rating Scales Labeling the Scale Points · Variants

How Much to Label? — Four Variants


The same question: "How likely are you to buy Product A again?"

All points labeled
maximum guidance
Very unlikely
Somewhat unlikely
Neither
Somewhat likely
Very likely
Numbers only
minimal labeling
1
2
3
4
5
Only poles labeled
endpoints named
Very unlikely
Very likely
Poles + numbers
endpoints named, steps numbered
1Very unlikely
2
3
4
5Very likely
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 63 / 274
2.3 · Construction of Rating Scales Wording of the Scale Poles

Peaked vs. Flat Response Distribution


How extreme the endpoints are worded shapes the form of the response distribution.

Extreme poles → peaked distribution
extremely satisfiednot at all satisfied

Respondents avoid the extremes — the answers cluster in the middle.

Moderate poles → flat distribution
satisfieddissatisfied

Respondents also use the endpoints — the answers spread out more evenly.

Make clear differences of opinion visible, provoke unambiguous positions → Moderate poles (flatter distribution)
Set off extreme opinions, make only strong positions visible → Extreme poles (more peaked distribution)
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 64 / 274
Chapter 1 · Part 2 Section Overview
2
Part

Survey: Measurement and Scaling

2.1Introduction
2.2Comparative Scales
2.3Non-Comparative Scales
2.4Latent Constructs
2.5Reliability and Validity
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 65 / 274
2.4 · Latent Constructs Multi-Item Scales

Latent Constructs and Multi-Item Scales


i

Latent construct

A phenomenon (e.g. customer satisfaction) that is not directly observable or measurable.

That doesn't mean it doesn't "exist" — only that it can be inferred from other, measurable phenomena (indicators).

Example · how "satisfaction" is asked
satisfieddissatisfied
delightedannoyed
favorableunfavorable
pleasantunpleasant
I liked it very much… not at all
gratifiedfrustrated
wonderfulterrible
7 items · Cronbach's α = 0.84
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 66 / 274
2.4 · Latent Constructs Construct → Dimensions → Factors → Items → Scale

Latent Constructs: Hierarchy of Measurement


QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 67 / 274
2.4 · Latent Constructs Advantages & Examples

Multi-Item Scales: Advantages


+

Advantages

  • Ability to assess abstract concepts
  • Different facets of the construct can be captured
  • Reduction of data dimensionality by aggregating many observable phenomena into one model
Examples of latent constructs
Satisfaction Loyalty Trust Service quality Purchase intention Brand image Involvement Price perception Usability
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 68 / 274
2.4 · Latent Constructs Develop your own scale — or adopt one?

Multi-Item Scales: Make or Steal


Make
Develop your own scale
iteratively
Theory development
Generating the initial item pool
Theory · secondary data · qualitative analysis
Choosing the reduced item set (qualitative judgments)
Data collection — large sample
Statistical analysis
Developing a purified scale
Data collection — different sample
Assessment: reliability, validity & generalizability
Deriving the final scale
Steal
Adopt ready-made, validated scales

Where do you find ready-made scales?

Bruner (2012): "Marketing Scales Handbook", Vol. 6 — a collection of validated multi-item measures.
marketingscales.com/research
As well as leading academic journals
JAMS JA JCR JM JMR JR
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 69 / 274
2.4 · Latent Constructs Application · Customer Loyalty & Retention

Secure Customer Index


The Secure Customer Index combines three loyalty indicators into one metric. Only someone who chooses the top level (5) on Secure Customer counts as a Secure Customer on all three dimensions — the intersection. Each segment gives the share (%) of customers.

Satisfaction in general
5 — very satisfied
4 — somewhat satisfied
3 — neither satisfied nor dissatisfied
2 — somewhat dissatisfied
1 — very dissatisfied
Willingness to recommend
5 — will definitely recommend
4 — will probably recommend
3 — undecided
2 — will probably not recommend
1 — will definitely not recommend
Likelihood of reuse
5 — will definitely reuse
4 — will probably reuse
3 — undecided
2 — will probably not reuse
1 — will definitely not reuse
Secure Customers
Share who are very satisfied / will definitely reuse / will definitely recommend.
Favorable attitude
Share with at least the second-best level on all three dimensions of satisfaction and loyalty.
Vulnerable consumers
Share: somewhat satisfied · undecided · undecided.
At-risk consumers
Share: somewhat/not satisfied · will probably or definitely not reuse/recommend.
Venn diagram: Secure Customer as the intersection of three top ratings Very satisfied Will definitely use again Will definitely recommend Secure Customer

Source: D. Randall Brandt (1996), "Secure Customer Index", Maritz Research

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 70 / 274
2.4 · Latent Constructs Application · Loyalty across two periods

Extended Secure Customer Index by Burke Inc.


Burke extends the Secure Customer Index by two additional loyalty dimensions (five in total) and links the loyalty index measured in Period 1 with the actual Share of Wallet in Period 2 — that is, the share of spending the customer devotes to the brand.

Period 1
Loyalty index
Period 2
Share of Wallet
(0 % – 100 %)
Five dimensions — each captured via the following question
Overall satisfaction“How satisfied are you with (BRAND/COMPANY) overall?”
Willingness to recommend“If you were asked to recommend a company in (INDUSTRY), how likely is it that you would recommend (BRAND/COMPANY)?”
Likelihood to repurchase“How likely is it that you will continue to use (BRAND/COMPANY)?”
Earned loyalty“(BRAND/COMPANY) has earned my loyalty.”
Preferred company“I prefer (BRAND/COMPANY) over all other providers.”
Secure Customer Index — five dimensions: Preferred Company, Earned Loyalty, Likelihood to Recommend, Likelihood to Repurchase, Overall Satisfaction Source: Burke Inc. · http://www.burke.com/
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 71 / 274
Chapter 1 · Part 2 Section overview
2
Part

Survey: Measurement and Scaling

2.1Introduction
2.2Comparative Scales
2.3Non-Comparative Scales
2.4Latent Constructs
2.5Reliability and Validity
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 72 / 274
2.5 · Reliability and Validity Basic model of measurement

The True-Score Model


The result of a measurement is not the true value of a characteristic, but only an observation of it.Caliper

XOobserved = XTtrue + XSsystematic + XRrandom
XOobserved value of a characteristic
XTthe true value of the characteristic
XSsystematic error
XRrandom error
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 73 / 274
2.5 · Reliability and Validity Two quality criteria of measurement

Reliability and Validity


Reliability
Dependability

Indicates how reliably a measurement instrument measures — i.e. how consistent the results are across repeated measurements.

No random error: XR 0 XO XT + XS

The measure is Cronbach's alpha (0 ≤ α ≤ 1)

Values of α ≥ 0.7 are considered acceptable

XO = XT + XS + XR
Validity
Accuracy

Indicates to what extent a measurement instrument actually measures the matter it is meant to measure.

That is: to what extent measured differences correspond to actual differences between the objects (quality of the measurement).

No measurement error: XS 0, XR 0 XO XT

XO = XT + XS + XR
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 74 / 274
2.5 · Reliability and Validity Relationship

Relationship between Reliability and Validity


Hits tightly grouped, but off-center
Reliable
but not valid
Hits loosely scattered around the center
Low reliability
low validity
Hits widely scattered and off-center
Not reliable
not valid
Hits tightly grouped at the center
Reliable and valid
the goal
Validity implies reliability.XO = XT XS = 0, XR = 0
Non-reliability implies non-validity.XR ≠ 0 XO = XT + XR ≠ XT
Reliability does not imply validity.XR = 0, XS ≠ 0 XO = XT + XS ≠ XT
Reliability is a necessary, but not sufficient condition for validity.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 75 / 274
2.5 · Reliability and Validity Why both matter

The purpose of a scale is to enable us to represent respondents with the highest accuracy and reliability. We cannot have one without the other and still trust our data.

Bart Gamble Vice President Client Services
Burke, Inc. (2000–2003)
Bart Gamble
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 76 / 274
2.5 · Reliability and Validity Application · A single question

Net Promoter Score® — a predictor of company growth?


How likely is it that you would recommend company/brand/product X to a friend, relative or colleague?"

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Detractors
Passives
Promoters
Net Promoter Score = % Promoters % Detractors NPS−100 % … +100 %
5–10 %
Average companies
45 %
Companies with open growth potential
50–80 %
Market leaders with high growth potential

Source: Reichheld, Fred (2003) “One Number You Need to Grow”, Harvard Business Review

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 77 / 274
2.5 · Reliability and Validity Net Promoter Score · Warning

Net Promoter Score®: Warning


Although the “recommendation question” is by far the best single question for predicting consumer behavior across a range of industries — it is not the best question for all industries. That is why companies have to do their homework and empirically verify.

the link between the answer and the subsequent consumer behavior for their line of business Fred Reichheld, 2011
Source: Reichheld, F. & Markey, R. (2011). The Ultimate Question 2.0. Harvard Business Review Press, pp. 50–51.
Fred Reichheld 78 / 274
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx Chapter 3
3
Section overview

Questionnaire

3.1Questionnaire
3.2Asking Questions
3.3Overcoming Inability to Answer
3.4Overcoming Unwillingness to Answer
3.5Increasing Willingness of Respondents
3.6Determining the Order of Questions
What's Next? 79 / 274
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx Chapter 3 · Questionnaire

Definition & objectives


Questionnaire

QuestionnaireA questionnaire

1 is a formalized list of questions used to gather information from respondents.“Translate” the information need into a set of unambiguous questions
2 that respondents are able and willing to answerMotivate respondents to take part in the survey and complete it
3Minimize response error
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 80 / 274
3.1 · Asking Questions Two Contrasting Pairs

Questioning Techniques and Questioning Tactics


FormClosed
vs. Open
Questions
  • Closed: choice from predefined answer options.
    + easy to analyze, no cognitive stress
    automatic, unconsidered answers
  • Open: answer options not predefined.
    + unlimited possibilities, taxes the memory
    complex coding, refusal possible
Analysisclosed → easy to evaluate · open → rich, but labor-intensive
ApproachDirect
vs. Indirect
Questions
  • Direct: the question targets the matter of interest directly.
  • Indirect: the matter is inferred through an indirect formulation — sparing sensitive or hard-to-articulate topics.
Examplesdirect: "Do you drink alcohol every day?"
indirect: "Which beverages do you prefer with meals?"
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 81 / 274
3.1 · Asking Questions A Classic Experiment

Influence of Formulation on the Answer


Question A
"May one smoke while praying?"
→ Answer: No
Question B
"May one pray while smoking?"
→ Answer: Yes

Same action, different formulation — opposite answers.
Source: Noelle-Neumann & Petersen (1998), p. 192 · n = 2100, p < 0.05

Share of answers (%)
Yes
57
51
No
25
30
Unsure
18
19
"Do you even believe in true love?"
"Do you believe in true love?"
n = 2100, p < 0.05
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 82 / 274
3.1 · Asking Questions Guiding Questions

What Should Be Considered When Developing a Questionnaire?


1
Is the question necessary?
2
Several questions instead of one?
3
Does the respondent have the information?
4
Can the respondent remember?
5
Effort on the respondent's part
6
Sensitivity of the question
7
Explain the aims of the questions
8
Cultural aspects
9
Easy to complete?
10
Complete & comprehensive?
11
Influence of formulation
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 83 / 274
Chapter 3 Section Overview
3
Chapter

Questionnaire

3.1Asking Questions
3.2Overcoming Inability to Answer
3.3Overcoming Unwillingness to Answer
3.4Increasing Willingness of Respondents
3.5Determining the Order of Questions
3.6What's Next?
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 84 / 274
3.1 · Asking Questions Eight Pitfalls

Asking Questions


Interviewer with microphone

"Not every question deserves an answer."

Publius Syrus · Rome, 1st c. BC

Avoid …
Ambiguity & vagueness
Jargon, slang, abbreviations
Double-barreled questions
Leading questions
Implicit assumptions
Implicit alternatives
Treating hypotheses as proof
Generalizations & estimates
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 85 / 274
3.1 · Asking Questions Rule 1 · Ambiguity, Confusion, Vagueness

Avoid Ambiguity, Confusion and Vagueness


i

The six W's

Formulate the question in terms of who, what, when, where, why and how. Especially important: who, what, when, where.

Signpost with Who, What, Where, When, Why, How
Example
"Which brand of shampoo do you use?"
Ask instead
"Which brand or brands of shampoo have you personally used at home during the past month? If you have used more than one, please name all of them."
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 86 / 274
3.1 · Asking Questions Rule 1 · Analysis

"Which brand of shampoo do you use?" — what is unclear?


WAspectWhy unclear?
WhoReference personUnclear whether only the respondent themselves or their entire household is meant.
WhatReference objectUnclear how to answer if several brands are used.
WhenReference periodNo reference period given — this morning, this week, or the whole year?
WhereSituation / placeAt home, at the gym, on vacation, on a business trip?
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 87 / 274
3.1 · Asking Questions Rule 1 · Complete Alternatives

Make Answer Options Complete & Unambiguous


For clarity instead of ambiguity: consider all realistic situations and prepare suitable answer options — including "does not apply" and filter routing.

Example
"What type of computer do you own?"
WindowsMac OS
Better
"Which computers do you own?"
noneWindowsMac OSOther
Example
"Are you satisfied with your current car insurance?"
YesNo
Even better · Filter routing
1. "Do you have car insurance?" (if no → Question 3)
2. "Are you satisfied with your current car insurance?"
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 88 / 274
3.1 · Asking Questions Rule 1 · Unambiguous Scales

Scales and Answer Options Must Be Unambiguous


i

Vague frequencies

Words like "rarely," "sometimes" or "often" mean something different to every respondent. Use concrete, delimited frequency specifications.

Example
"How often do you shop at a supermarket in a typical month?"
NeverRarelySometimesOftenRegularly
Ask instead
"How often do you shop at a supermarket in a typical month?"
less than 1 time1–2 times3–4 timesmore than 4 times
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 89 / 274
3.1 · Asking Questions Rule 2 · Simple Language

Avoid Jargon, Slang and Abbreviations


i

Simple words

Use simple, everyday words — no technical terms, no jargon. Every respondent must understand the question immediately.

Slang and abbreviations: WTF, FYI, LOL, ASAP …
Example
"Do you believe that the distribution of soft drinks is adequate?"
Ask instead
"Are soft drinks easy to find whenever you want to buy them?"
Also unclear
"State your adjusted net income for the past year."
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 90 / 274
3.1 · Asking Questions Rule 3 · One aspect per question

Avoid Double-Barreled Questions


i

One aspect per question

Each question should focus on just one aspect. Otherwise you don't know what the answer refers to.

A road that forks into two paths — one question, two aspects
Example
"In your opinion, is Coca-Cola tasty and refreshing?"
Ask instead
1. "In your opinion, is Coca-Cola tasty?"
2. "In your opinion, is Coca-Cola refreshing?"
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 91 / 274
3.1 · Asking Questions Rule 4 · No suggestion

Avoid Leading


i

No suggestion

If you already want a particular answer, there's no need to ask the question. Leading wording steers the respondent.

Question road sign
Example
Help the environment by using cloth shopping bags?"
Ask instead
"Do you use cloth shopping bags?"
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 92 / 274
3.1 · Asking Questions Rule 5 · Name the consequences

Avoid Implicit Assumptions


i

Name the consequences

The answer should not depend on tacit assumptions about the consequences. Make them explicit.

Iceberg — the unspoken assumption below the surface
Example
"Do you think the price of milk should be lowered?"
Ask instead
"Do you think the price of milk should be lowered, even if this makes the quality of milk worse?"
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 93 / 274
3.1 · Asking Questions Rule 6 · Name the alternatives

Avoid implicit alternatives


i

Name the alternatives

Implicit alternatives are answer options that were not explicitly named. Make the counter-option visible.

Two dice — the unspoken alternative
Example
"Do you like to take the train for short city trips?"
Ask instead
"Do you like to take the train for short city trips, or do you prefer to drive?"
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 94 / 274
3.1 · Asking Questions Rule 7 · Facts instead of opinions

Avoid Treating Beliefs as Real Facts


i

Facts instead of opinions

Opinions and beliefs often represent the real facts only in a distorted way. Ask about the two facts separately.

Impossible figures — opinions represent the facts in a distorted way
Example
"Do you believe that more highly educated people tend to wear fur clothing more often?"
Ask instead
1. "What is your level of education?"
2. "Do you wear fur clothing?"
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 95 / 274
3.1 · Asking Questions Rule 8 · Ask concretely

Avoid Generalizations and Estimates


i

No mental arithmetic

Don't force the respondent to strain their memory and their mathematical skills. Ask for the building blocks.

A jar full of candy and a calculator — estimating large numbers is impossible
Example
"What are the annual per-capita food expenses in your household?"
Ask instead
1. "How much money does your household spend on food per month?"
2. "How many members does your household have?"
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 96 / 274
Chapter 3 Section Overview
3
Chapter

Questionnaire

3.1Asking Questions
3.2Overcoming Inability to Answer
3.3Overcoming Unwillingness to Answer
3.4Increasing Willingness of Respondents
3.5Determining the Order of Questions
3.6What's Next?
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 97 / 274
3.2 · Inability to Answer Three hurdles

Overcoming Inability to Answer


1
Informed person with info symbol
Is the respondent informed?
Do they even have the necessary information?
2Person thinking with a recall symbol
Can the respondent remember?
Is the information retrievable?
3Person speaking with a speech bubble
Can the respondent articulate?
Can they formulate the answer?
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 98 / 274
3.2 · Inability to Answer Hurdle 1 · Information

Is the respondent informed?


Respondents often answer questions even when they are not informed.

Classic experiment: In response to a question about the fictitious "Consumer Complaints Bureau," 51.9 % of lawyers and 75 % of the general public answered — even though no such bureau exists.
Person answering even though they don't know
Remedy 1 · Filter questions
Ask in advance about knowledge or shopping frequency — e.g. in a study of 10 shops.
Remedy 2 · "Don't know"
Offer a "Don't know" answer option instead of forcing answers.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 99 / 274
3.2 · Inability to Answer Hurdle 2 · Recall

Can the respondent remember?


i

Recall errors

Poor recall leads to omission, telescoping and creation. Ask about typical behavior, not exact counts.

Person thinking
Aided recall: "Which of the following brands were advertised yesterday?" (with a list) instead of "Which commercials do you remember?"
Example
"How many bottles of soft drinks have you consumed in the past four weeks?"
Ask instead
"How often do you drink soft drinks in an average week?"
less than 1×1–3× per week4–6× per week7× or more
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 100 / 274
3.2 · Inability to Answer Hurdle 3 · Articulation

Can the respondent articulate it?


i

Offer aids

Anyone who cannot formulate their answer skips the question or drops out. Offer pictures, diagrams or descriptions to choose from.

Person speaking with a speech bubble
Problem
When asked to describe the atmosphere of a department store, many respondents struggle to formulate their answer.
Solution
When respondents are presented with alternative descriptions of the atmosphere, they can select the one they like most.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 101 / 274
Chapter 3 Section Overview
3
Chapter

Questionnaire

3.1Asking Questions
3.2Overcoming Inability to Answer
3.3Overcoming Unwillingness to Answer
3.4Increasing Willingness of Respondents
3.5Determining the Order of Questions
3.6What’s Next?
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 102 / 274
3.3 · Unwillingness to Answer Problems & Remedies

Overcoming Unwillingness to Answer


Most respondents dislike …
investing a lot of time and effort in answering
answering questions that seem inappropriate in the context
disclosing information that seems not useful to them
revealing sensitive information
Three remedies
1
Clarify the context
2
Explain the purpose
3
Reduce the effort
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 103 / 274
3.3 · Unwillingness to Answer Remedy · Reduce the effort

Reduce the effort


i

Reduce the effort

Minimize the effort required to answer. Instead of recalling freely, let respondents select from a ready-made list.

Example
“Please name all the departments where you shopped during your last visit to the department store.”
Ask instead
“Please tick all the departments where you shopped most recently:”
Women’s clothingMen’s clothingChildren’s clothingCosmetics …Other (please specify) ______
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 104 / 274
3.3 · Unwillingness to Answer Remedy · Clarify the context

Clarify the context


i

Provide context

Some questions seem inappropriate in the wrong context. Introduce them with an explanatory statement.

Questions about hygiene habits seem normal in a medical survey — but out of place in a survey about fast-food restaurants.
Introductory statement
“As a fast-food restaurant, we strive to provide our customers with a clean and hygienic environment. That’s why we’d now like to ask you a few questions about your hygiene habits.”
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 105 / 274
3.3 · Unwillingness to Answer Remedy · Explain the purpose

Explain the purpose


i

Legitimize the purpose

Explain why the information is needed — otherwise it seems intrusive.

Why would a cereal maker be interested in respondents’ age, income and occupation?
Legitimize the information request
“To understand how the consumption of breakfast cereals differs between people of various ages, incomes and occupations, we need the following information from you …”
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 106 / 274
Chapter 3 Section Overview
3
Chapter

Questionnaire

3.1Asking Questions
3.2Overcoming Inability to Answer
3.3Overcoming Unwillingness to Answer
3.4Increasing Willingness of Respondents
3.5Determining the Order of Questions
3.6What’s Next?
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 107 / 274
3.4 · Increasing Willingness of Respondents Handling sensitive topics

Handling sensitive topics


1
Place sensitive topics at the end of the questionnaire
2
Introduce with a statement that the behavior is only of interest in general
3
Phrase questions in the third person (as if they concern other people)
4
Hide the question within a group of other questions
5
Provide answer options
instead of asking for specific details or figures
Sensitive topics 💰 Money Private & family life Political & religious views
Accidents & offenses 108 / 274
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx Chapter 3
3
Section Overview

Chapter

3.1Questionnaire
3.2Asking Questions
3.3Overcoming Inability to Answer
3.4Overcoming Unwillingness to Answer
3.5Increasing Willingness of Respondents
3.6Determining the Order of Questions
What’s Next? 109 / 274
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 3.5 · Determining the Order of Questions

Three principles


1
Determining the Order of Questions
Opening questionsShould be interesting, easy and non-threatening
2
— they determine whether respondents continue.
Type of informationRule of thumb: ask the research-relevant information first, then the classification and lastly the identification information
3
.
Difficult questionsPlace sensitive, embarrassing, complicated or tedious questions as far back
 as possible.
Sushi pieces in a fixed order on chopsticks — order matters 110 / 274
3.5 · Determining the Order of Questions Halo Effects

Funneling and Skip Logic


Funnel
Funneling
General before Specific
1General first
"Which aspects play an important role for you when choosing a department store?"
2Then specific
"How important is the convenience of the location to you when choosing a department store?"
Skip Logic
Logical Arrangement

Place the question branched to as close to the triggering question as possible.

Arrange branching so that respondents cannot anticipate which additional information will be asked.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 111 / 274
3.5 · Determining the Order of Questions Example · Skip Logic

Example: Flowchart of a Questionnaire


Flowchart of a questionnaire: skip logic from purchasing behavior to card usage
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 112 / 274
Chapter 3 Section Overview
3
Chapter

Questionnaire

3.1Asking Questions
3.2Overcoming Inability to Answer
3.3Overcoming Unwillingness to Answer
3.4Increasing Willingness of Respondents
3.5Determining the Order of Questions
3.6What's Next?
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 113 / 274
3.6 · What's Next? The Introduction

Design a Convincing Introduction


1
Spark respondents' interest
2
Explain the reasons and goals
3
Ask respondents for help
4
Emphasize that their support is valuable
5
State how long the survey takes
6
Emphasize anonymity
7
Provide incentives
Preferably non-monetary incentives.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 114 / 274
3.6 · What's Next? The Most Important Step

Pretest! Pretest! Pretest!


Test the questionnaire on a small sample before deployment — and check every aspect:

Content of the questions Wording / phrasing Order Form & layout Difficulty of the question Instructions Analysis methods
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 115 / 274
Chapter 3 · Questionnaire Recap

Recap


Flowchart

Develop a flowchart of the required information — starting from the (market) research problem.

Once the sequence is laid out, the connections become clear.

Align the collected data with the information needs.

Set a clear objective for each area — the questions follow from it.

Put on the "critic's hat"

Go back to the flowchart and ask about each piece of information:

"Do I really need to know this — and do I know what I'll do with it?"

… rather than "Nice to know, but I don't really need it."

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 116 / 274
Chapter 4 Section Overview
4
Chapter

Sampling

4.1Non-probability Sampling
4.2Probability Sampling
4.3Choosing Non-probability vs. Probability Sampling
4.4Sample Size
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 117 / 274
Chapter 4 · Sampling Why Sampling Matters
The World's Most Famous Headline Error

Dewey Defeats Truman

1948: The Chicago Daily Tribune announces the wrong election result. President Harry Truman beats Thomas Dewey — against all polls.
Reason: a biased, inaccurate opinion poll.

Harry Truman holds up the newspaper with the false headline "Dewey Defeats Truman
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 118 / 274
Chapter 4 · Sampling Basic Concepts

Sampling


Population (large) with sample contained
Population
The group of people we want to understand — often segmented by demographic/psychographic characteristics.
Sample
a representative subset of the population

Most surveys cannot survey every person. Instead, a sample is drawn and examined — this procedure is called sampling.

If sampling is done correctly, the survey results can be generalized to the entire population.

If the sample is drawn incorrectly, all the data is useless.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 119 / 274
Chapter 4 · Sampling Basic Concepts

Sampling


Population with sample and respondents
Population
The group of people we want to understand — often segmented by demographic/psychographic characteristics.
Sample
a representative subset of the population
Respondents
the people who answer

But not everyone selected actually answers: those who really take part are the respondents.

The respondents are a subset of the sample — and only they ultimately provide the data. If this group is skewed, the result is skewed.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 120 / 274
Chapter 4 · Sampling Two General Methods

Sampling: Two General Methods


Method 1
Non-probability Sampling

The sample is drawn based on the personal judgment of the researcher — often at random (convenience sample, e.g. passersby in a shopping mall).

Usually inexpensive; allows a rough estimate of the population parameters.

But: the sampling error cannot be calculated → results are not representative and cannot be generalized to the population.
Method 2
Probability Sampling

The sample is selected based on the principle of randomness.

Allows statistical techniques to determine the accuracy of the estimated population parameters as well as to assess their confidence intervals.

Results are generalizable and can be extended to the population.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 121 / 274
Chapter 4 · Sampling Overview of Techniques

Sampling Techniques


Root
Sampling Techniques
Non-probability Techniques
based on researcher's judgment
Convenience Sampling Judgmental Sampling Quota Sampling Snowball Sampling
Probability Techniques
based on the principle of randomness
Simple Random Sampling Systematic Random Sampling Cluster Sampling Other Techniques
Stratified Sampling
Proportionate Disproportionate
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 122 / 274
Chapter 4 Section Overview
4
Chapter

Sampling

4.1Non-probability Sampling
4.2Probability Sampling
4.3Choosing Non-probability vs. Probability Sampling
4.4Sample Size
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 123 / 274
4.1 · Non-probability Sampling Technique 1

Convenience Sampling


Hand reaching randomly into a bowl of candy

In convenience sampling (selection at random), respondents enter the sample uncontrolled — mostly out of convenience. Often simply because they are in the right place at the right time.

Typical examples
Students & members of public organizations Surveys in stores without qualifying the respondents Surveys on the streets Tear-off questionnaires in catalogs and magazines
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 124 / 274
4.1 · Non-probability Sampling Technique 2

Judgmental Sampling


Gavel on an old book — selection by judgment

Judgmental sampling is a form of convenience sampling in which respondents enter the sample at the discretion of the researcher..

Typical examples
Test markets Purchasing engineers in industrial market research Mothers as "users" of diapers
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 125 / 274
4.1 · Non-probability Sampling Technique 3

Quota Sampling


The sample is drawn according to predefined control characteristics (e.g. gender, age, income), so that it reflects the structure of the population proportionally. The objects are usually selected at random — but they must fulfill the quota plan.

Control characteristic Population Sample
Share % Share % Count
Gender — male4848480
female5252520
Total1001001000
Age — 18–302727270
31–453939390
45–601616160
over 601818180
Total1001001000

Often used in online surveys.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 126 / 274
4.1 · Non-probability Sampling Technique 4

Snowball Sampling also chain sampling


Snowball rolling down a slope and growing bigger
1The first group of respondents is (usually) selected randomly.
2After the interview, they name additional people from the target group.
3Subsequent respondents are selected through referrals.
Good for locating rare characteristics: hard-to-reach respondents (public officials, executives, homeless people, drug addicts), rarely occurring traits, buyer-seller pairs in industrial research.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 127 / 274
Chapter 4 Section Overview
4
Chapter

Sampling

4.1Non-probability Sampling
4.2Probability Sampling
4.3Choosing Non-probability vs. Probability Sampling
4.4Sample Size
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 128 / 274
4.2 · Probability Sampling Focus

Sampling Techniques


Root
Sampling Techniques
Non-probability Techniques
based on researcher's judgment
Convenience Sampling Judgmental Sampling Quota Sampling Snowball Sampling
Probability Techniques
based on the principle of randomness
Require knowledge of the composition of the population
Simple Random Sampling Systematic Random Sampling Cluster Sampling Other Techniques
Stratified Sampling
Proportionate Disproportionate
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 129 / 274
4.2 · Probability Sampling Requires knowledge of the population

Simple and Systematic Random Sampling


Simple Random Sampling
  • Each element is selected independently of all others. This means:
  • Each element of the population has a known and equal probability of being selected.
  • Every possible sample of size n has a known probability of actually being drawn.
Select at random
AbolinaTirza
BernhardtCarina
BerzHelena
BoeckNicola
DollaseMiriam
FränzelCarolin
FrostAnnika
GoetzeAnika
JähelFelix
JankNadja
KeitzlInga
KroppJanine
KubitzkyVictoria
LangenEduard
Systematic Random Sampling
  • First, a starting element is selected at random; then every i-th element is drawn from the sampling frame.
  • The interval i results from the size of the population N relative to the size of the sample n:  i = N / n
Start here, then every i-th
AbolinaTirza
iBernhardtCarina
BerzHelena
BoeckNicola
iDollaseMiriam
FränzelCarolin
FrostAnnika
iGoetzeAnika
GrothCarolin
JähelFelix
iJankNadja
KeitzlInga
KroppJanine
KubitzkyVictoria
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 130 / 274
4.2 · Probability Sampling Requires knowledge about the population

Stratified Sampling


11012
246
7811
359
Sample
210
85

The population is first divided into non-overlapping strata. Then a (dis-)proportional share is drawn at random from each stratum. Elements within a stratum should be similar to one another.

Good for
Highlighting a particular subgroup within the population Observing relationships between two or more subgroups Representative sampling of even the smallest and least accessible subgroups Higher statistical precision
Proportional
StratumABC
Population size100200300
Sampling fraction½½½
Sample size50100150
Disproportional
StratumABC
Population size100200300
Sampling fraction½
Sample size20100100
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 131 / 274
4.2 · Probability Sampling Requires knowledge about the population

Cluster Samplingalso called cluster sampling


12 34 56 78 910 1112
Dividing the population
56 1112
Sample — 2 clusters

The population is divided into exclusive clusters. Then entire clusters are selected at random and enter the sample in full.

For each cluster, either all elements (one-stage) or a random subsample (two-stage) is drawn.
Good for
Covering large geographic areas Reducing (survey) costs When a complete list of elements is difficult to compile When the population consists of natural clusters (blocks, cities, schools, hospitals …)
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 132 / 274
Chapter 4 Section Overview
4
Chapter

Sampling

4.1Non-probability Sampling
4.2Probability Sampling
4.3Choosing Non-probability vs. Probability Sampling
4.4Sample Size
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 133 / 274
4.3 · Choosing Non-probability vs. Probability Sampling Comparison of all techniques

Strengths and Weaknesses of Basic Sampling Techniques


TechniqueStrengthsWeaknesses
Non-probability sampling techniques
Convenience SamplingLeast expensive, least time-consuming, most convenientProne to error, not representative; not recommended for descriptive and causal research
Judgmental SamplingLow cost, convenient, not time-consumingSubjective, results not generalizable
Quota SamplingCertain characteristics of the sample can be controlledProne to error, no guarantee of representativeness
Snowball SamplingEnables estimation of rare characteristicsTime-consuming in fieldwork
Probability sampling techniques
Simple Random SamplingEasy to understand; generalizable or representative resultsSampling frame difficult to construct, expensive, lower precision; no guarantee of representativeness
Systematic SamplingCan increase representativeness; easier to implement than simple random samplingCan decrease representativeness
Stratified SamplingIncludes all important subgroups of the population; high precisionRelevant stratification criteria difficult to select; multiple criteria not practical; expensive
Cluster SamplingEasy to implement, cost-effectiveImprecise; complicated computation and interpretation of results
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 134 / 274
Chapter 4 Section Overview
4
Chapter

Sampling

4.1Non-probability Sampling
4.2Probability Sampling
4.3Choosing Non-probability vs. Probability Sampling
4.4Sample Size
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 135 / 274
4.4 · Sample Size Qualitative aspects rather than population size

Determining the Sample Size


The sample size does not depend on the size of the population — it is determined by the qualitative aspects of the study:

1
Desired precision of the predictions
2
Knowledge about the population parameters
3
Number of variables
4
Type of analysis
5
Importance of the decision
6
Response and drop-out rates
7
Resource constraints
A crowd of people forms the silhouette of a powerful figure — many respondents make for a robust sample.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 136 / 274
4.4 · Sample Size Rules of thumb from practice

Sample Sizes Used in Marketing Research Studies


Type of studyMinimum sizeTypical size
Problem identification studies (e.g. market potential)5001.000 – 2.000
Problem-solving studies (e.g. pricing)200300 – 500
Product tests200300 – 500
Test market studies200300 – 500
TV/radio/print advertising (per ad)150200 – 300
Test market audits10 stores10 – 20 stores
Focus groups6 groups10 – 15 groups
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 137 / 274
4.4 · Sample Size From result to the question of precision

A survey result — and how certain is it?


“Which sources do you prefer for obtaining your information?” (n = 48,804)
Social media32 %
Search engines24 %
News apps & online portals18 %
Television12 %
Friends & acquaintances9 %
Print (newspaper/magazine)5 %
32 %

name social media as their main information channel.

But how close is this value to the true value in the population?

The answer is given by the margin of error — and it determines the required sample size.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 138 / 274
4.4 · Sample Size Definition

Margin of Error Approach to Determining Sample Size


Margin of error

Margin of error is the measure of a survey's precision.

The smaller the margin of error, the more precise the survey's estimates are.

Result with margin of error
31.55 %
32.45 %
32 %
Margin of error ± 0.45 percentage points
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 139 / 274
4.4 · Sample Size Calculating the margin of error

Margin of error approach: two formulas


x = x̂ ± E
x = true value of the parameter = sample value E = margin of error
For metric data
Means
Assessing means computed from the sample
E = z · σ / √n
zz-value for the specified confidence level
σStandard deviation of the parameter in the population
nSample size
For proportions
Proportions
Assessing computed proportions
E = z · √(π(1−π)/n)
zz-value for the specified confidence level
πEstimated value for the proportion in the population
nSample size
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 140 / 274
4.4 · Sample Size The Problem of Unknown Dispersion

Margin of Error Approach: Two Formulas


x = x̂ ± E
x = true value of the parameter = sample value E = margin of error
For Metric Data
Means
Assessing means calculated from the sample
Usually unknown E = z · σ / √n — σ highlighted
zz-value for the specified confidence level
σStandard deviation of the parameter in the population
nSample size
For Proportions
Proportions
Assessing calculated proportions
Usually unknown E = z · √(π(1−π)/n) — numerator highlighted
zz-value for the specified confidence level
πEstimate of the proportion in the population
nSample size
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 141 / 274
4.4 · Sample Size Worst-Case Assumption π = 0.5

Margin of Error Approach: Two Formulas


x = x̂ ± E
x = true value of the parameter = sample value E = margin of error
For Metric Data
Means
Assessing means calculated from the sample
Usually unknown E = z · σ / √n — σ highlighted
zz-value for the specified confidence level
σStandard deviation of the parameter in the population
nSample size
For Proportions
Proportions
Assessing calculated proportions
Usually unknown E = z · √(π(1−π)/n) — numerator highlighted red and green Maximum at π = 0.5
zz-value for the specified confidence level
πEstimate of the proportion in the population
nSample size
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 142 / 274
4.4 · Sample Size Margin of Error Approach

z-Values and Maximum Margin of Error


z-Values
1.96 for 95 % confidence level
2.58 for 99 % confidence level
Maximum Margin of Error for 95% Confidence Level

With z = 1.96 and the maximum π = 0.5 the formula simplifies to:

E = z · √(π(1−π)/n) = 1.96 · √(0.5(1−0.5)/n) ≈ 1/√n

… the upper bound of the error — independent of the actual proportion π.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 143 / 274
4.4 · Sample Size How Accurate Is This Number?

What Is the Margin of Error?


"Which sources do you prefer to get your information from?"

32 % name social media as their main information channel
Sample 48.804 Respondents
Margin of error = 1 divided by √n
48.804 respondents in the sample
48.804 = 220,916 ≈ 221
1 / 221 = 0.0045
· 100 = 0.45%
⇒ x = 32% ± 0.45%
⇒ from 31.55% to 32.45%

Calculations show approximate values for a 95% confidence level

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 144 / 274
4.4 · Sample Size Margin of Error Approach

How Large Must the Sample Be?


E ≈ 1/√n  ⇒  n ≈ (1/E)²

The higher the desired accuracy, the larger the sample must be.

± 1 %
n = (1 / 0.01)² = 100²
10.000
± 2 %
n = (1 / 0.02)² = 50²
2.500
± 5 %
n = (1 / 0.05)² = 20²
400
± 10 %
n = (1 / 0.1)² = 10²
100
Doubling the accuracy costs four times the sample. The size does not depend on the size of the population.

Calculations show approximate values for a 95% confidence level

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 145 / 274
4.4 · Sample Size Special Case

What If the Population Is Small?


For a margin of error of ± 1 % you would need:
n = (1 / 0.01)² = 100²
10.000
But what if the population comprises only 100 elements? (e.g. car manufacturers)
Rule of Thumb

If the sample is larger than 10% of the population, corrections are necessary.

Otherwise the formula overestimates the required size — the finite population reduces the actual sampling error.

Calculations show approximate values for a 95% confidence level

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 146 / 274
4.4 · Sample Size Finite Population Correction

Correcting the Sample Size


ncorr = n · N n + N − 1
ncorrcorrected sample size
n(uncorrected) sample size
NPopulation size
Example · N = 100

Computationally you would need n = 10,000 — with only 100 elements in the population:

ncorr = (10.000 · 100) / (10.000 + 100 − 1)
= 1.000.000 / 10.099 ≈ 99

You can't survey more than the entire population — the correction brings the size down to a realistic level.

Calculations show approximate values for a 95% confidence level

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 147 / 274
4.4 · Sample Size Correction in Practice

Correction for a small population: ± 1 %


n ≈ (1/E)² ncorr=n · Nn + N − 1
Computationally required
n = (1 / 0.01)² = 100²
10.000
… with only N = 100 elements in the population.
Corrected
ncorr = (10.000 · 100) / (10.000 + 100 − 1)
= 1.000.000 / 10.099
≈ 99

Calculations show approximate values for a 95% confidence level

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 148 / 274
4.4 · Sample Size Correction in Practice

Correction for a small population: ± 5 %


n ≈ (1/E)² ncorr=n · Nn + N − 1
Computationally required
n = (1 / 0.05)² = 20²
400
… with only N = 100 elements in the population.
Corrected
ncorr = (400 · 100) / (400 + 100 − 1)
= 40.000 / 499
≈ 80

Calculations show approximate values for a 95% confidence level

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 149 / 274
4.4 · Sample Size Correction in Practice

Correction for a small population: ± 10 %


n ≈ (1/E)² ncorr=n · Nn + N − 1
Computationally required
n = (1 / 0.1)² = 10²
100
… with only N = 100 elements in the population.
Corrected
ncorr = (100 · 100) / (100 + 100 − 1)
= 10.000 / 199
≈ 50

Calculations show approximate values for a 95% confidence level

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 150 / 274
4.4 · Sample Size Terms

Confidence Interval and Confidence Level


Confidence interval

An estimated range of values together with the probability that this range contains the unknown parameter value.

Confidence level

The expected proportion of intervals that contain the parameter value across many samples.

Example · Working Hours

Sample of 30 people → avg. 7.5 h. Confidence interval: 7.2 – 7.8 h (margin of error ± 0.3).

95% confidence level means: if you repeated the measurement 100 times with new samples, the true average would fall within this range in 95 of the cases.

Many samples · 95% capture μ
7.07.58.08.5μ = 7.6 h

Each bar = one confidence interval. Red = misses the true value.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 151 / 274
4.4 · Sample Size Relationship

Confidence Interval, Margin of Error, and Sample Size


The higher the certainty (confidence probability) we need, the wider the confidence interval becomes — and the larger the margin of error.

1.96
for 95%
→ margin of error ≈ 1 / √n
2.58
for 99%
→ margin of error ≈ 1.29 / √n
More certainty → larger z-value → for the same precision you need a larger sample.
95 %
E = 1.96 · sqrt(0.5(1−0.5)/n) = 1/sqrt(n)
99 %
E = 2.58 · sqrt(0.5(1−0.5)/n) = 1.29/sqrt(n)
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 152 / 274
4.4 · Sample Size Takeaway

What the Margin of Error Formula Tells Us


E = z · sqrt(π(1−π)/n)
n ↑
lowers E
z ↑
raises E
1

The only lever to lower the margin of error is a larger n — everything else is fixed.

2

More certainty means a larger z → the margin of error grows → you need an even larger n to push it back down.

Smaller margins of error require larger samples.
Higher confidence levels require larger samples.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 153 / 274
Chapter 5 · Data Analysis Section Overview
5
Chapter

Data Analysis: A Concise Overview of Statistical Techniques

5.1Descriptive Statistics: Organizing and Presenting Data
5.1.1Organizing Qualitative Data
5.1.2Organizing Quantitative Data
5.1.3Summarizing Data Numerically
5.1.4Cross-Tabulations
5.2Inferential Statistics: Generalizing to the Population
5.2.1Hypothesis Testing
5.2.2Strength of a Relationship in Cross-Tabulation
5.2.3Relationship between Two (Ratio Scaled) Variables
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 154 / 274
Chapter 5 · Data Analysis Two Basic Types

Types of Statistical Data Analysis


Type 1
Descriptive Statistics

Summarizes the observations from the sample and presents them clearly.

Uses summary measures, tables, graphs and charts to describe, systematize, organize and present the collected data.

Type 2
Inferential Statistics

Makes statements about the generalizability of observations and conclusions from random samples to the population.

Assesses relationships between variables and quantifies them: strength and significance, predictions and estimates.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 155 / 274
Chapter 5 · Data Analysis Section Overview
5
Chapter

Data Analysis

5.1Descriptive Statistics: Organizing and Presenting Data
5.1.1Organizing Qualitative Data
5.1.2Organizing Quantitative Data
5.1.3Summarizing Data Numerically
5.1.4Cross-Tabulations
5.2Inferential Statistics: Generalizing to the Population
5.2.1Hypothesis Testing
5.2.2Strength of a Relationship in Cross-Tabulation
5.2.3Relationship between Two (Ratio Scaled) Variables
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 156 / 274
Chapter 5 · Data Analysis Section Overview
5
Chapter

Data Analysis

5.1Descriptive Statistics: Organizing and Presenting Data
5.1.1Organizing Qualitative Data
5.1.2Organizing Quantitative Data
5.1.3Summarizing Data Numerically
5.1.4Cross-Tabulations
5.2Inferential Statistics: Generalizing to the Population
5.2.1Hypothesis Testing
5.2.2Strength of a Relationship in Cross-Tabulation
5.2.3Relationship between Two (Ratio Scaled) Variables
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 157 / 274
5.1.1 · Organizing Qualitative Data Tables

Frequencies and Relative Frequencies


Collected data · Favorite color (n = 26)

Frequency distribution indicates, for each value, how often it occurs in the data.

Relative frequency shows the proportion (or percentage) of observations for a value.

Favorite colorFrequencyRelative Frequency
blue1010/26 ≈ 0.38
red33/26 ≈ 0.12
orange11/26 ≈ 0.04
yellow33/26 ≈ 0.12
green55/26 ≈ 0.19
pink33/26 ≈ 0.12
purple11/26 ≈ 0.04
Total261.00
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 158 / 274
5.1.1 · Organizing Qualitative Data Graphical Representation

Bar Graph


Bar height = frequency or relative frequency

Bars must not touch

Absolute Frequencies
10
3
1
3
5
3
1
Favorite color
FREQUENCY024681012blueredorangeyellowgreenpinkpurple
Relative Frequencies
0.38
0.12
0.04
0.12
0.19
0.12
0.04
Favorite color
RELATIVE FREQUENCY0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%blueredorangeyellowgreenpinkpurple
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 159 / 274
5.1.1 · Organizing Qualitative Data Graphical Representation

Pie Chart


Favorite color
38%12%12%19%12%
blue38 %
red12 %
orange4 %
yellow12 %
green19 %
pink12 %
purple4 %

Should always show relative frequencies.

Needs labels — directly on the chart or in the legend.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 160 / 274
Chapter 5 · Data Analysis Section Overview
5
Chapter

Data Analysis

5.1Descriptive Statistics: Organizing and Presenting Data
5.1.1Organizing Qualitative Data
5.1.2Organizing Quantitative Data
5.1.3Summarizing Data Numerically
5.1.4Cross-Tabulations
5.2Inferential Statistics: Generalizing to the Population
5.2.1Hypothesis Testing
5.2.2Strength of a Relationship in Cross-Tabulation
5.2.3Relationship between Two (Ratio Scaled) Variables
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx 161 / 274
5.1.2 · Organizing Quantitative DataTables

Tables


Collected Data
22245333321235343123532132
Number of ChildrenFrequencyRelative Frequency
133/26 ≈ 0.12
288/26 ≈ 0.31
31010/26 ≈ 0.38
422/26 ≈ 0.08
533/26 ≈ 0.12

Discrete Variable is a quantitative variable that has either a finite number of values or an infinitely countable number of values (e.g. 0, 1, 2, 3, …).

Sometimes there are too many values to create a row for each value. In that case, several values are combined into groups (classes).

Collected Data
62876758959491695276828591607772837963887988707575
Points on the ExamFre­quency
Lower Class Limit 50–59 2
Upper Class Limit 60–69 5
70–79 7
Class Width = 90 − 80 = 10 80–89 7
90–99 4
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx162 / 274
5.1.2 · Organizing Quantitative DataFrom the Table to the Histogram

Tables and Histograms


Number of ChildrenFrequencyRelative Frequency
133/26 ≈ 0.12
288/26 ≈ 0.31
31010/26 ≈ 0.38
422/26 ≈ 0.08
533/26 ≈ 0.12
FREQUENCY02468101212345NUMBER OF CHILDREN
RELATIVE FREQUENCY0.000.100.200.300.400.5012345NUMBER OF CHILDREN
∅ Time in TransitFrequencyRelative Frequency
16–17.911/15 ≈ 0.07
18–19.922/15 ≈ 0.13
20–21.911/15 ≈ 0.07
22–23.966/15 ≈ 0.40
24–25.922/15 ≈ 0.13
26–27.911/15 ≈ 0.07
28–29.911/15 ≈ 0.07
30–31.911/15 ≈ 0.07
Average Time in Transit
FREQUENCY01234567161820222426283032TIME (MINUTES)
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx163 / 274
5.1.2 · Organizing Quantitative DataGraphical Representation

Histogram


A histogram graphically depicts a grouped frequency distribution.

The height of each bar corresponds to the frequency (or relative frequency) of the class.

The widths are equal and the bars touch each other — unlike in a bar graph.

Average Time in Transit
FREQUENCY01234567161820222426283032TIME (MINUTES)
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx164 / 274
5.1.2 · Organizing Quantitative DataGraphical Representation

Frequency Polygon


1

Mark the midpoint at the top of each bar of the histogram.

2

Connect the midpoints with straight lines.

3

Bring the line back down to zero at both ends — and the polygon is complete.

Average Time in Transit
FREQUENCY01234567161820222426283032TIME (MINUTES)
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx165 / 274
5.1.2 · Organizing Quantitative DataGraphical Representation

Cumulative Tables and Ogives


Cumulative Table

shows the sum of the frequencies up to and including the respective row.

Ogive

is the graph of the cumulative relative frequency across all classes.

∅ Time in Transit · each row adds the previous relative frequency
∅ TimeRelative FrequencyCumulative Rel. Frequency
16–17.91/15 ≈ 0.070.07
18–19.92/15 ≈ 0.130.07+0.13 0.20
20–21.91/15 ≈ 0.070.20+0.07 0.27
22–23.96/15 ≈ 0.400.27+0.40 0.67
24–25.92/15 ≈ 0.130.67+0.13 0.80
26–27.91/15 ≈ 0.070.80+0.07 0.87
28–29.91/15 ≈ 0.070.87+0.07 0.94
30–31.91/15 ≈ 0.070.94+0.07 1.00
Average Time in Transit
CUMULATIVE REL. FREQUENCY0.00.20.40.60.81.0161820222426283032TIME (MINUTES)
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx166 / 274
Chapter 5 · Data Analysis Section Overview
5
Chapter

Data Analysis

5.1Descriptive Statistics: Organizing and Presenting Data
5.1.1Organizing Qualitative Data
5.1.2Organizing Quantitative Data
5.1.3Summarizing Data Numerically
5.1.4Cross-Tabulations
5.2Inferential Statistics: Generalizing to the Population
5.2.1Hypothesis Testing
5.2.2Strength of a Relationship in Cross-Tabulation
5.2.3Relationship between Two (Ratio Scaled) Variables
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx167 / 274
5.1.3 · Summarizing Data NumericallyMeasures of Central Tendency

Measures of Central Tendency


Mean
x̄ = (x₁ + x₂ + ⋯ + xₙ) / n = ∑xᵢ / n
Advantages

Easy to compute: just sum up and divide.

Intuitive – a single number “in the middle”; pulled up by large values and down by small ones.

Disadvantages

Can be skewed by outliers – poor for highly variable data.

The mean of 100, 200 and −300 is 0. That is confusing.

3+8+4=5+5+5
Sum of individual elementsSum of average elements
The mean is the “center of gravity” –
just like the balancing point
121212131313 = 12.5 years 121212131334 = 16 years
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx168 / 274
5.1.3 · Summarizing Data NumericallyMeasures of Central Tendency

Measures of Central Tendency


Median
x̃ = x_(n+1)/2 for odd n; ½(x_n/2 + x_n/2+1) for even nfor odd nfor even n
Advantages

Handles outliers well – often the most accurate depiction of a group.

Splits the data into two equally sized groups.

Disadvantages

Harder to compute: data must first be sorted.

Less well known; many confuse “median” with “average”.

50% below50% above
The median is the middle element
of a sorted list
121212131313M = 12.5 years 121212131334M = 12.5 years
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx169 / 274
5.1.3 · Summarizing Data NumericallyMeasures of Central Tendency

Measures of Central Tendency


Mode
Advantages

Good for exclusive choices (this one or the other; no compromises) – works with nominal data.

Shows the choice that most people wanted (the mean often leads to a choice that no one wanted).

Easy to understand.

Disadvantages

Requires more effort: you have to count the votes.

“The winner takes all” — there is no middle ground.

CountValues
The mode is the most frequent value
among all observations of the variable
The mode of is
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx170 / 274
5.1.3 · Summarizing Data NumericallyMeasures of Central Tendency

Measures of Central Tendency: Using Mean and Median to Identify the Distribution Shape


Mean ispulled downwardMedian
left-skewed
Mean and Medianare approximately equal
symmetric
MedianMean ispulled upward
right-skewed
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx171 / 274
5.1.3 · Summarizing Data NumericallyMeasures of Dispersion

Measures of Dispersion


Variance is the average of squared deviations from the mean
Population Variance
(variance of the population)
σ² = ∑(xᵢ − μ)² / n
Sample
Variance
s² = ∑(xᵢ − x̄)² / (n − 1)
Carmelo Anthony – 6′8″+1½″Carlos Boozer – 6′9″+2½″Chris Bosh – 6′10″+3½″Kobe Bryant – 6′6″−0½″Dwight Howard – 6′11″+4½″LeBron James – 6′8″+1½″Jason Kidd – 6′4″−2½″Chris Paul – 6′0″−6½″Tayshaun Prince – 6′9″+2½″Michael Redd – 6′6″−0½″Dwayne Wade – 6′4″−2½″Deron Williams – 6′3″−3½″μ = 6′ 6½″Heights of the US basketball team (2008 Olympics)
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx172 / 274
5.1.3 · Summarizing Data NumericallyMeasures of Dispersion

Measures of Dispersion


Sample
Variance
s² = ∑(xᵢ − x̄)² / (n − 1)
Why variance?
x̄ = (1.5 + 2.5 + 3.5 − 0.5 + 4.5 + 1.5 − 2.5 − 6.5 + 2.5 − 0.5 − 2.5 − 3.5) / 12 = 0

The mean acts like a balance point – the average deviation from the mean is always zero.

In the variance, all deviations are squared, so that negative and positive deviations do not cancel out.

s² = 117 / (12 − 1) ≈ 10.6
Carmelo Anthony – 6′8″+1½″Carlos Boozer – 6′9″+2½″Chris Bosh – 6′10″+3½″Kobe Bryant – 6′6″−0½″Dwight Howard – 6′11″+4½″LeBron James – 6′8″+1½″Jason Kidd – 6′4″−2½″Chris Paul – 6′0″−6½″Tayshaun Prince – 6′9″+2½″Michael Redd – 6′6″−0½″Dwayne Wade – 6′4″−2½″Deron Williams – 6′3″−3½″μ = 6′ 6½″Heights of the US basketball team (2008 Olympics)
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx173 / 274
5.1.3 · Summarizing Data NumericallyMeasures of Dispersion

Measures of Dispersion


Standard
Deviation
s = √s²σ = √σ²

Standard deviation keeps the units of measurement of the original data.

s² = 117 / (12 − 1) ≈ 10.6 square inchess = √10.6 ≈ 3.3 inches
Which data set has a higher standard deviation?
405060708090100
48 49 52 55 57 58 62 64 65 66 67 72 72 73 75 78 78 78 79 82 84 86 88 89 93 94 95
405060708090100
48 55 57 61 64 65 68 71 71 72 73 73 74 75 78 78 79 79 79 79 82 84 85 88 89 92 95
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx174 / 274
5.1.3 · Summarizing Data NumericallyMeasures of Dispersion

Relationship between the Standard Deviation and the Shape of the Normal Distribution


Normal distribution with standard deviations
99.7% of the data lie within 3 standard deviations of the mean
95% within 2 standard deviations
68% within 1
Standard
Deviation
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx175 / 274
Chapter 5 · Data Analysis Section Overview
5
Chapter

Data Analysis

5.1Descriptive Statistics: Organizing and Presenting Data
5.1.1Organizing Qualitative Data
5.1.2Organizing Quantitative Data
5.1.3Summarizing Data Numerically
5.1.4Cross-Tabulations
5.2Inferential Statistics: Generalizing to the Population
5.2.1Hypothesis Testing
5.2.2Strength of a Relationship in Cross-Tabulation
5.2.3Relationship between Two (Ratio Scaled) Variables
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx176 / 274
5.1.4 · Cross-TabulationsWhat & Why

Cross-Tabulations


i

Cross-Tabulations

Cross-tabulations summarize the joint distribution of two (or more) discrete variables in a table.

They help analyze the relationship of one variable (e.g. brand loyalty) with another (e.g. gender).

Each cell represents a combination of the categories.

Typical questions a cross-tabulation answers:

  • How many brand-loyal consumers are men?
  • Is the usage frequency (high, medium, low) of a product related to outdoor activities (often, sometimes, rarely, never)?
  • Is familiarity with a new product related to age and level of education?
  • Is ownership of a product related to income (high, medium, low)?
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx177 / 274
5.1.4 · Cross-TabulationsExample: two variables

Cross-Tabulations


Does ownership of expensive car brands depend on level of education?
Ownership of expensive car brands by level of education
Ownership of an
expensive car
Level of education
College degreeNo college degree
yes32 %21 %
no68 %79 %
Total100 %100 %
Number of cases250750
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx178 / 274
5.1.4 · Cross-TabulationsThe third variable

Cross-Tabulations


Sometimes introducing a third variable can reveal …
Case 1Spurious relationshipsThe apparent relationship disappears once you control for it.
Case 2Hidden relationshipsA previously invisible relationship becomes visible.
Case 3No changeThe original relationship remains unchanged.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx179 / 274
5.1.4 · Cross-TabulationsCase 1 · the third variable

Cross-Tabulations


Case 1Spurious
relationship
Does ownership of expensive car brands depend on level of education?
Ownership of expensive car brands by level of education and income level
Ownership of an
expensive car
High incomeLow income
College degreeNo college degreeCollege degreeNo college degree
yes20 %20 %40 %40 %
no80 %80 %60 %60 %
Total100 %100 %100 %100 %
Number of cases10070015050
Is the relationship still there?
No — within each income group, car ownership is the same (20% and 40% respectively). The relationship with level of education was spurious; in fact, income is what matters.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx180 / 274
5.1.4 · Cross-TabulationsCase 2 · the third variable

Cross-Tabulations


Case 2Hidden
Relationship
Does age influence the desire to travel and seek adventure?
Desire for international travel by age
Desire for
international travel
Age
Under 4545 and over
yes50 %50 %
no50 %50 %
Total100 %100 %
Number of cases500500
… by age and gender
Desire for
international travel
MaleFemale
< 45≥ 45< 45≥ 45
yes60 %40 %35 %65 %
no40 %60 %65 %35 %
Total100 %100 %100 %100 %
Number of cases300300200200
Aggregated (50%/50%), age appears to play no role. Only when split by gender does it become clear: for men the desire to travel rises with age, for women it falls — a hidden relationship.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx181 / 274
5.1.4 · Cross-TabulationsCase 3 · the third variable

Cross-Tabulations


Case 3No
Change
Is the frequency of visits to fast-food restaurants related to family size?
Visit frequency by family size
Frequently go to
fast-food restaurants
Family size
SmallLarge
yes50 %50 %
no50 %50 %
Total100 %100 %
Number of cases500500
… by family size and income
Frequently go to
fast-food restaurants
Low incomeHigh income
SmallLargeSmallLarge
yes50 %50 %50 %50 %
no50 %50 %50 %50 %
Total100 %100 %100 %100 %
Number of cases250250250250
Even after introducing the third variable (income), it stays 50%/50% everywhere — the original (non-)relationship does not change.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx182 / 274
Chapter 5 · Data Analysis Section overview
5
Chapter

Data Analysis

5.1Descriptive Statistics: Displaying and Presenting Data
5.1.1Organizing Qualitative Data
5.1.2Organizing Quantitative Data
5.1.3Summarizing Data Numerically
5.1.4Cross-Tabulations
5.2Inferential Statistics: Generalizing to the Population
5.2.1Hypothesis Testing
5.2.2Strength of a Relationship in Cross-Tabulation
5.2.3Relationship between Two (Ratio Scaled) Variables
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx183 / 274
Chapter 5 · Data Analysis Section overview
5
Chapter

Data Analysis

5.1Descriptive Statistics: Displaying and Presenting Data
5.1.1Organizing Qualitative Data
5.1.2Organizing Quantitative Data
5.1.3Summarizing Data Numerically
5.1.4Cross-Tabulations
5.2Inferential Statistics: Generalizing to the Population
5.2.1Hypothesis Testing
5.2.2Strength of a Relationship in Cross-Tabulation
5.2.3Relationship between Two (Ratio Scaled) Variables
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx184 / 274
5.2.1 · Hypothesis TestingWhat & how it works

Hypothesis Testing


i

Hypothesis Testing

A five-step procedure that, based on a sample and using probability theory, determines whether a hypothesis is sufficiently supported.

In other words: a method for testing whether the results of a random sample can be generalized to the population.

A five-step approach:

  • Formulating a null hypothesis and its alternative hypothesis
  • Setting the significance level
  • Choosing the appropriate test statistic
  • Formulating the decision rule
  • Calculating the metrics from the sample and making the decision
"People are mistakenly confident in their knowledge and underestimate the likelihood that their beliefs will turn out to be wrong. They tend to seek out only information that confirms what they already believe."— Max Bazerman
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx185 / 274
5.2.1 · Hypothesis TestingStarting example

Hypothesis Testing


Do men really use the internet more often than women — across the whole population?
Internet use and gender · Sample n = 30
Internet useGenderTotal
MaleFemale
rarely51015
frequently10515
Total1515n = 30
In the sample, men use the internet more frequently. But does this also hold in the population — or is it a coincidence of the sample?
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx186 / 274
5.2.1 · Hypothesis TestingStep 1 · Hypotheses

Hypothesis Testing


Step 1 · Formulating a null hypothesis and its alternative hypothesis
H₀There is no difference between men and women in the frequency of internet use.
IN_m = IN_f
H₁Men and women show different internet use behavior.
IN_m ≠ IN_f

Null hypothesis (H₀) is a claim of the status quo — that there is no difference or no effect.

Alternative hypothesis (H₁) claims the opposite — that there is a difference or an effect.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx187 / 274
5.2.1 · Hypothesis TestingStep 2 · Types of error

Hypothesis Testing


Step 2 · Setting the significance level

Significance (α) — probability that a true null hypothesis is rejected.

β — probability that a false null hypothesis is accepted.

α — Significance
Null hypothesis (H₀)
is true
Null hypothesis (H₀)
is false
Null hypothesis
reject
Type I errorFalse positiveCorrect decisionTrue positive
Null hypothesis
do NOT reject
Correct decisionTrue negativeType II errorFalse negative
(1−β) — Power
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx188 / 274
5.2.1 · Hypothesis TestingStep 2 · Criminal-trial analogy

Hypothesis Testing


Step 2 · Setting the significance level

Analogy: innocence in a criminal trial.
H₀: The defendant is innocent.

Significance (α) — probability that a true null hypothesis is rejected.

β — probability that a false null hypothesis is accepted.

Convicting an innocent person
Null hypothesis (H₀)
is true
Null hypothesis (H₀)
is false
Null hypothesis
reject
Type I errorFalse positiveCorrect decisionTrue positive
Null hypothesis
do NOT reject
Correct decisionTrue negativeType II errorFalse negative
Releasing a criminal
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx189 / 274
5.2.1 · Hypothesis TestingStep 2 · Lion analogy

Hypothesis Testing


Step 2 · Setting the significance level

Analogy: a rustling in the bushes — is that a lion?
H₀: There is no lion in the bushes.

Significance (α) — probability that a true null hypothesis is rejected.

β — probability that a false null hypothesis is accepted.

There is no lion, but you run away
Null hypothesis (H₀)
is true
Null hypothesis (H₀)
is false
Null hypothesis
reject
Type I errorFalse positiveCorrect decisionTrue positive
Null hypothesis
do NOT reject
Correct decisionTrue negativeType II errorFalse negative
You stay unconcerned — and the lion eats you
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx190 / 274
5.2.1 · Hypothesis TestingStep 2 · Common levels

Hypothesis Testing


Step 2 · Setting the significance level

Significance (α) — the probability that a true null hypothesis is rejected.

β — the probability that a false null hypothesis is accepted.

Significance levels in market research
α — significance level
0.01 (1%)
0.05 (5%)
(1−α) — confidence level
0.99 (99%)
0.95 (95%)
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx191 / 274
5.2.1 · Hypothesis TestingStep 3 · Which test?

Hypothesis Testing


Step 3 · Choosing the appropriate test statistic

Our example is about the distribution of non-metric variables (rare/frequent internet use; men/women) in one sample.

SampleApplied toScale levelTest statistics / Comments
One sampleDistributionsNon-metricKolmogorov-Smirnov and χ² test for goodness of fit; runs test for randomness; binomial test for dichotomous variables
MeansMetrict-test (variance unknown); z-test (variance known)
ProportionsMetricz-test
Two independent samplesDistributionsNon-metricKolmogorov-Smirnov test for agreement of distributions between two samples
MeansMetricTwo-sample t-test; F-test for equality of variances
ProportionsMetric, Non-metricz-test; χ² test
Ranks / MediansNon-metricMann-Whitney U-test (more sensitive than the median test)
Paired samplesMeansMetricPaired-difference t-test
ProportionsNon-metricMcNemar test for binary variables; χ² test
Ranks / MediansNon-metricWilcoxon signed-rank test (more sensitive than the sign test)
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx192 / 274
5.2.1 · Hypothesis TestingStep 3 · our case

Hypothesis Testing


Step 3 · Choosing the appropriate test statistic

One sample · distribution · non-metric → the χ² test for goodness of fit.

SampleApplied toScale levelTest statistics / Comments
One sampleDistributionsNon-metricKolmogorov-Smirnov and χ² test for goodness of fit; runs test for randomness; binomial test for dichotomous variables
MeansMetrict-test (variance unknown); z-test (variance known)
ProportionsMetricz-test
Two independent samplesDistributionsNon-metricKolmogorov-Smirnov test for agreement of distributions between two samples
MeansMetricTwo-sample t-test; F-test for equality of variances
ProportionsMetric, Non-metricz-test; χ² test
Ranks / MediansNon-metricMann-Whitney U-test (more sensitive than the median test)
Paired samplesMeansMetricPaired-difference t-test
ProportionsNon-metricMcNemar test for binary variables; χ² test
Ranks / MediansNon-metricWilcoxon signed-rank test (more sensitive than the sign test)
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx193 / 274
5.2.1 · Hypothesis TestingStep 3 · χ² idea

Hypothesis Testing


Step 3 · Choosing the appropriate test statistic

The χ²test statistic (chi-square) tests the statistical significance of the relationship observed in a crosstab.

H₀There is no relationship between the variables.

χ² tests the equality of frequency distributions — which frequencies are we comparing?

  • fe — frequencies we would expect in the cells if there were no relationship.
  • fo — the frequencies actually observed.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx194 / 274
5.2.1 · Hypothesis TestingStep 3 · expected frequencies

Hypothesis Testing


Step 3 · Choosing the appropriate test statistic
fe — frequencies we would expect in the cells if there were no relationship.
fo — the frequencies actually observed.
fe = nr · ncn
nr — total sum in a row
nc — total sum in a column
n — sample size
fe₁,₁ = 15 · 1530 = 7.5
fe₁,₂ = 15 · 1530 = 7.5
fe₂,₁ = 15 · 1530 = 7.5
fe₂,₂ = 15 · 1530 = 7.5
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx195 / 274
5.2.1 · Hypothesis TestingStep 3 · χ² calculation

Hypothesis Testing


fe — frequencies we would expect in the cells if there were no relationship.
fo — the frequencies actually observed.
Step 3 · Choosing the appropriate test statistic
χ² = Σ over all cells (f_o − f_e)² / f_e

χ² should always be computed using only absolute frequencies. If the data are given in percentages (relative frequencies), they must first be converted into absolute frequencies.

In our example:
χ² = (5−7.5)²7.5 + (10−7.5)²7.5 + (10−7.5)²7.5 + (5−7.5)²7.5 = 0.833 · 4 = 3.333
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx196 / 274
5.2.1 · Hypothesis TestingStep 4 · Decision rule

Hypothesis Testing


Step 4 · Formulating the decision rule

TScal — the observed (calculated) value of the test statistic.

TScr — the critical value of the test statistic for the chosen significance level.

If the probability of TScal < significance level (α), then reject H₀.
or
If TScal > TScr, then reject H₀.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx197 / 274
5.2.1 · Hypothesis TestingStep 4 · Comparison

Hypothesis Testing


Step 4 · Formulating the decision rule
Critical values of χ² for various significance levels α
df0.990.9750.950.900.100.050.0250.01
10.0010.0040.0162.7063.8415.0246.635
20.0200.0510.1030.2114.6055.9917.3789.210
30.1150.2160.3520.5846.2517.8159.34811.345
40.2970.4840.7111.0647.7799.48811.14313.277
50.5540.8311.1451.6109.23611.07112.83315.086
60.8721.2371.6352.20410.64512.59214.44916.812
71.2391.6902.1672.83312.01714.06716.01318.475
81.6462.1802.7333.49013.36215.50717.53520.090
92.0882.7003.3254.16814.68416.91919.02321.666
102.5583.2473.9404.86515.98718.30720.48323.209
df = (r−1)(c−1)
df — degrees of freedom
r — number of rows
c — number of columns
df = (2−1)(2−1) = 1
If the probability of TScal < (α), then reject H₀.
or
If TScal > TScr, then reject H₀.
χ²cal = 3.333
χ²cr = 3.841
3.333 < 3.841 ⟹ χ²cal < χ²cr
H₀ CANNOT be rejected
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx198 / 274
5.2.1 · Hypothesis TestingStep 5 · Decision

Hypothesis Testing


Step 5 · Making the decision
Is the evidence there?
What are the consequences?
  • H₀ — that there is no relationship — cannot be rejected.
  • The relationship is 0.05 statistically not significant.
  • The results observed in the sample cannot be generalized to the population.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx199 / 274
5.2.1 · Hypothesis TestingTakeaway from the example

Hypothesis Testing


Internet use and gender · n = 30
Internet useGenderTotal
MaleFemale
rarely51015
frequently10515
Total1515n = 30
Do men really use the internet more often than women — in the population?
Answer: The sample provides no evidence for it.

If the sample was carefully selected and drawn, we can claim with 95% confidence that there is no such relationship.

Otherwise — we don't know.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx200 / 274
Chapter 5 · Data Analysis Section Overview
5
Chapter

Data Analysis

5.1Descriptive Statistics: A Concise Overview of Statistical Techniques
5.1.1Organizing Qualitative Data
5.1.2Organizing Quantitative Data
5.1.3Summarizing Data Numerically
5.1.4Cross-Tabulations
5.2Inferential Statistics: Generalizing to the Population
5.2.1Hypothesis Testing
5.2.2Strength of a Relationship in Cross-Tabulation
5.2.3Relationship between Two (Ratio Scaled) Variables
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx201 / 274
5.2.2 · Strength of a RelationshipOverview

Testing the Strength of a Relationship


χ² tests only the significance of a relationship and says nothing about its strength.

Simple proof: doubling all the values in the cross-tabulation doubles χ² — but the relationship itself stays the same.

Measures of the strength of a relationship are:
φ
Phi Coefficient
C
Contingency Coefficient
V
Cramer's V
λ
Lambda Coefficient
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx202 / 274
5.2.2 · Strength of a RelationshipPhi Coefficient

Phi Coefficient


φ = square root of χ² divided by n

The higher φ, the stronger the relationship between the variables.

Values > 0.30 are considered substantial.

Problems:
  • φ is not standardized and has an upper limit of 1 only for 2×2 tables; it depends on the table dimensions.
  • φ values from different studies cannot be compared with one another.
In our example:
φ = square root of 3.333 divided by 30 = 0.333

The relationship is not particularly strong.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx203 / 274
5.2.2 · Strength of a RelationshipContingency Coefficient

Contingency Coefficient


C = square root of χ² divided by (χ² + n)

The higher C, the stronger the relationship between the variables.

Values > 0.30 are considered substantial.

Although C values have an upper limit of 1, they cannot actually reach this limit.

Problems:
  • C is not standardized and depends on the table dimensions.
  • C values from different studies cannot be compared with one another.
In our example:
C = square root of 3.333 divided by (3.333 + 30) = 0.316

The relationship is not particularly strong.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx204 / 274
5.2.2 · Strength of a RelationshipCramer's V

Cramer's V


V = square root of χ² divided by n times (min(r,c) − 1)
r — number of rows
c — number of columns

The higher V, the stronger the relationship between the variables.

Values > 0.30 are considered substantial.

V values have an upper limit of 1, but they too can actually reach it only for 2×2 tables.

Problems:
  • V is not standardized and depends on the table dimensions.
  • V values from different studies cannot be compared with one another.
In our example:
V = square root of 3.333 divided by 30 times (2 − 1) = 0.333

The relationship is not particularly strong.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx205 / 274
5.2.2 · Strength of a RelationshipLambda Coefficient

Lambda Coefficient


λ = (sum over c of maxᵣ(n_rc) − maxᵣ(n_r)) divided by (n − maxᵣ(n_r))
r — row index
c — column index

Indicates the extent to which knowing the value of one variable helps in predicting the other variable.

Is standardized between 0 and 1 (1 — error-free prediction, 0 — no improvement in prediction).

λ values from different studies can be compared with one another.

In our example:
λ = ((10 + 10) − 15) divided by (30 − 15) = 0.333

Knowing the gender increases prediction accuracy by a factor of 0.333, i.e. 33.3% improvement.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx206 / 274
5.2.2 · Strength of a RelationshipLambda · Calculation

Lambda Coefficient


Sum of the maximum frequencies of all columns

λ — numerator: sum over c of maxᵣ(n_rc) minus maxᵣ(n_r); denominator: n − maxᵣ(n_r)

maximum total value of a row

r — row index
c — column index
Internet UseGenderTotal
(row)
MaleFemale
r = 1rarely51015
r = 2often10515
Total (column)15c = 115c = 2n = 30
λ = ((10 + 10) − 15) divided by (30 − 15) = 0.333

Knowing the gender increases prediction accuracy by a factor of 0.333, i.e. 33.3% improvement.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx207 / 274
Chapter 5 · Data Analysis Section Overview
5
Chapter

Data Analysis

5.1Descriptive Statistics: A Concise Overview of Statistical Techniques
5.1.1Organizing Qualitative Data
5.1.2Organizing Quantitative Data
5.1.3Summarizing Data Numerically
5.1.4Cross-Tabulations
5.2Inferential Statistics: Generalizing to the Population
5.2.1Hypothesis Testing
5.2.2Strength of a Relationship in Cross-Tabulation
5.2.3Relationship between Two (Ratio Scaled) Variables
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx208 / 274
5.2.3 · Relationship between Two VariablesTypes of Relationships

Types of Relationships between Two Variables


Unless the data come from a controlled experiment, we can only claim the existence of a relationship between the variables — but not the causal direction of that relationship.

Linear
Linear
Non-linear
No relationship
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx209 / 274
5.2.3 · Relationship between Two VariablesLinear Correlation

Linear Correlation


Two variables correlate positively when higher values of one variable correspond to higher values of the other variable.

Two variables correlate negatively when higher values of one variable correspond to lower values of the other variable.

Positive Correlation

Negative Correlation

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx210 / 274
5.2.3 · Relationship between Two VariablesCorrelation Coefficient

Linear Correlation Coefficient


Properties:
  • Values of the linear correlation coefficient always lie between −1 and 1.
  • When r = +1 there is a perfect positive linear relationship between the variables.
  • When r = −1 there is a perfect negative linear relationship between the variables.
  • The closer r is to +1 or −1, the stronger the respective relationship.
  • If r is close to 0, there is little evidence of a linear relationship — but this does not mean there is no relationship at all, just no linear.
i

Linear Correlation Coefficient

The (Pearson) linear correlation coefficient measures the strength of the linear relationship between two variables.

r = Sum (x_i − x̄)(y_i − ȳ) divided by Sqrt(Sum (x_i − x̄)²) times Sqrt(Sum (y_i − ȳ)²)
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx211 / 274
5.2.3 · Relationship between Two VariablesWorked Example

Linear Correlation Coefficient


Strength of the Relationship between Variables
r-valueInterpretation
0 to 0.3Very weak
0.3 to 0.5Weak
0.5 to 0.7Moderate
0.7 to 0.9High
0.9 to 1Very high
r = Sum (x_i − x̄)(y_i − ȳ) divided by Sqrt(Sum (x_i − x̄)²) times Sqrt(Sum (y_i − ȳ)²)
xy(xᵢ−x̄)(yᵢ−ȳ)(xᵢ−x̄)(yᵢ−ȳ)(xᵢ−x̄)²(yᵢ−ȳ)²
869812.513.5168.75156.25182.25
6270−11.5−14.5166.75132.25210.25
5256−21.5−28.5612.75462.25812.25
9011016.525.5420.75272.25650.25
6676−7.5−8.563.7556.2572.25
80966.511.574.7542.25132.25
78864.51.56.7520.252.25
74840.5−0.5−0.250.250.25
Mean73.584.5
Sum151411422062
r = 1514 divided by (Sqrt 1142 times Sqrt 2062) ≈ 0.987
yx
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx212 / 274
5.2.3 · Relationship between Two VariablesRegression Analysis

Regression Analysis


Examples:
  • Can advertising spend explain changes in sales?
  • Can market share be attributed to the size of the sales department?
  • Is consumers' perception of quality influenced by their perception of price?
i

Regression Analysis

The regression analysis is a powerful and flexible tool for analyzing associative relationships between a metric dependent variable and one or more independent variables.

Enables you to:
  • determine the existence of the relationship,
  • quantify the strength of the relationship,
  • derive a mathematical model (formula) of the relationship,
  • predict values of the dependent variable,
  • account for the influence of other independent variables.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx213 / 274
5.2.3 · Relationship between Two VariablesWorked Example

Regression Analysis


How many product units will we sell if we spend €85.000 on advertising?

Advertising spend,
€1.000
Sales,
€1.000
40377
60507
70555
110779
150869
160818
190862
200817
Collected Data
Relationship between Sales and Advertising Spend
0 200 400 600 800 1000 0 50 100 150 200 250 y = 2.8239x + 352.07 R² = 0.8364 Sales, €1,000 Advertising spend, €1,000
  • Advertising spend explains 83.6% of the variance in sales.
  • Every additional euro invested in advertising brings €2.82 of additional sales.
  • €85.000 of advertising spend results in 2.8239 · 85 + 352.07 = 592.1 (thousand €) of sales.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx214 / 274
Chapter 6 · Advanced Techniques Section Overview
6
Chapter

Advanced Techniques of Market Analysis

Some Useful Concepts
6.1Conjoint Analysis
6.2Market Simulations
6.3Segmentation
6.4Perceptual Positioning Maps
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx215 / 274
Chapter 6 · Advanced Techniques Section Overview
6
Chapter

Advanced Techniques of Market Analysis

Some Useful Concepts
6.1Conjoint Analysis
6.2Market Simulations
6.3Segmentation
6.4Perceptual Positioning Maps
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx216 / 274
6.1 · Conjoint AnalysisDefinition

Conjoint Analysis


i

Conjoint Analysis

The conjoint analysis is a set of techniques used in market research to analyze attribute-based preferences of consumers — i.e. to determine how important different product features and feature levels are to consumers.

What should our new product look like?

Distinctive features
  • Evaluation of holistic objects
  • Decomposition of preferences
Widely used in
  • Segmentation
  • Development of new products
  • Pricing
Row of product bottles in various colors — the range of variants of a product
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx217 / 274
6.1 · Conjoint AnalysisDirect Questioning

Conjoint Analysis


Please indicate how important the following PC features are for your next decision to purchase a PC?
not at all
important
extremely
important
Manufacturer/Brand
Processor performance, GHz
Memory, GB
Display size
Price
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx218 / 274
6.1 · Conjoint AnalysisExpectation

Conjoint Analysis


Expectation
We expect respondents to reveal clear differences in importance to us.
Question: "Please indicate how important the following PC features are for your next purchase decision?"
not at all
important
extremely
important
Manufacturer/Brand
Processor performance, GHz
Memory, GB
Display size
Price
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx219 / 274
6.1 · Conjoint AnalysisReality

Conjoint Analysis


Reality
In reality, practically everything is important.
to respondents
Question: "Please indicate how important the following PC features are for your next purchase decision?"
not at all
important
extremely
important
Manufacturer/Brand
Processor performance, GHz
Memory, GB
Display size
Price220 / 274
6.1 · Conjoint AnalysisWhy evaluate jointly?

Conjoint Analysis


The relative importance of individual product attributes can be measured more accurately when respondents evaluate them as a single stimulus (CONsidered JOINTly) than when each attribute is evaluated in isolation:

  • Many consumers are unable to determine the relative importance of individual product attributes.
  • Individual attributes are perceived differently in isolation than in the combination that makes up a whole product.
  • Constructing the preferred combination of attributes strains respondents' cognitive abilities — “all attributes are important.”
  • Social desirability and a sharply defined self-image motivate respondents to give some attributes great weight even when they play no role (e.g. environmental friendliness, wealth, reduced importance of price).
  • Some respondents deliberately try to manipulate the results by giving “advantageous” answers (e.g. overstating the importance of price).
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx221 / 274
6.1 · Conjoint AnalysisChoice task

Conjoint Analysis


If you had to buy a laptop today and these were the only alternatives available on the market — which alternative would you choose?
MacBook Air
M3 chip (8 cores)
16 GB memory
13.6″ display
€ 1.299,–
Dell XPS 14
Core Ultra 7
32 GB memory
14.5″ display
€ 1.899,–
ASUS Zenbook
Ryzen 7 (8 cores)
16 GB memory
14″ display
€ 999,–
None
If these were the only alternatives, I would postpone the purchase.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx222 / 274
Chapter 6 · Advanced Techniques Section overview
6
Chapter

Advanced Techniques of Market Analysis

A Brief Overview of Some Useful Concepts
6.1Conjoint Analysis
6.2Market Simulations
6.3Segmentation
6.4Perceptual Positioning Maps
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx223 / 274
6.2 · Market SimulationsPreference values

Market Simulations


Given the following preference values — which product should we offer on the market?

Product alternatives
Blue Red Yellow
Respondent #1504010
Respondent #206575
Respondent #3403020
Mean304535
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx224 / 274
6.2 · Market SimulationsThe obvious conclusion

Market Simulations


Given the following preference values — which product should we offer on the market?

Product alternatives
Blue Red Yellow
Respondent #1504010
Respondent #206575
Respondent #3403020
Mean304535
Red" has the highest average preference value.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx225 / 274
6.2 · Market SimulationsBut: the actual choice

Market Simulations


Given the following preference values — which product should we offer on the market?

Product alternatives Choice
Blue Red Yellow
Respondent #1504010Blue
Respondent #206575Yellow
Respondent #3403020Blue
Mean304535Red
“Red” does have the highest average — yet no one actually chooses “Red.”
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx226 / 274
6.2 · Market SimulationsWhy? Competition!

Market Simulations


Suppose: 80 % of customers prefer round things, 20 % prefer square ones. What kind of things should we bring to market?

80% round things
20 %
Without additional information

The choice seems obvious — go where most customers are:

“round things”the “fat” part of the market
What if …

there are already 10 competitors that ALL offer round things?

10 providers compete for the same 80% — the 20% “square” are completely unoccupied.

Only in the context of competition does it become clear: the smaller, unoccupied market can be more profitable — and that is exactly what a market simulation makes visible.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx227 / 274
6.2 · Market SimulationsThe advantages

Why Market Simulations?


Market simulations reflect reality better than purely data-driven models — and deliver decisions that actually hold up in competition.

01

Closer to reality

  • capture the idiosyncratic preferences of segments and individuals
  • account for preferences and competing offerings on the market
02

Niches, not just mass

No compulsion to fixate on the “fat” part of the market — unoccupied segments can also yield good profit.

03

“Test laboratory”

A multitude of real market opportunities can be played through risk-free — together with their possible outcomes.

04

Actionable for management

The results are easy to understand and can be translated directly into decisions.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx228 / 274
6.2 · Market SimulationsThe basic process

What Do Market Simulations Do?


The basic process runs individually for each respondent — and is then aggregated into market shares:

Input
Respondent's preference structure
known — e.g. from the conjoint analysis
+
Input
Exhaustive market information
existing and simulated product offerings
Choice rule
Product choice or selection probability
determined per respondent
Aggregated
Market share of each product
Σ over all respondents
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx229 / 274
6.2 · Market SimulationsChoice rules

What Do Market Simulations Do?


The product choice per respondent is determined by so-called choice rules — e.g.:

First-choice rule

First-Choice Rule
  • The product with the highest utility is chosen.
  • Selection probability = 100 % for this product, 0 % for all others.

BTL model

after Bradley · Terry · Luce
  • Selection probability depends on the relative utility share in the market.
  • Even products with low preference or utility value receive a positive probability.
π_h = U_h divided by the sum of all U_h

Logit rule

contrast-based
  • Selection probability increases with growing contrast in product utility.
  • Enables an a-priori adjustment of simulated to real market shares.
π_h(α) = e to the α·U_h divided by the sum of e to the α·U_h
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx230 / 274
Chapter 6 · Advanced Techniques Section Overview
6
Chapter

Advanced Techniques of Market Analysis

Some Useful Concepts
6.1Conjoint Analysis
6.2Market Simulations
6.3Segmentation
6.4Perceptual Positioning Maps
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx231 / 274
6.3 · SegmentationBasic Concept

Market Segmentation


Market Segmentation

Market segmentation refers to dividing the "relevant market" into groups of consumers who are internally homogeneous and externally heterogeneous — and forms the basis for differentiated market cultivation.

A heterogeneous overall group is divided into three internally homogeneous segments

From a mixed overall group, internally homogeneous, mutually distinct segments emerge.

Objective

Developing efficient product differentiation strategies — for the most optimal exploitation of the potential of individual segments.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx232 / 274
6.3 · SegmentationEffectiveness

Effective Market Segmentation


Six criteria determine the efficiency and economic viability of a segment solution:

1

Identifiability

Consumers can be identified on the basis of easily measurable variables.

2

Substantiality

Segments must be large enough to amortize investments.

3

Accessibility

Targeted communication or targeted use of the marketing mix is possible.

4

Stability

… over the period of planning, implementation and effect of segment-specific measures.

5

Behavioral relevance

Uniform response to segment-specific measures (e.g. price change).

6

Actionability

Meaningful and helpful in formulating the marketing mix.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx233 / 274
6.3 · SegmentationTypology of Bases

Typology of Segmentation Bases


General
Product-specific
Observable
  • Cultural characteristics
  • Geographic characteristics
  • Demographic characteristics
  • Socioeconomic characteristics
  • User status & usage situation
  • Usage frequency & intensity
  • Brand loyalty & allegiance
Not observable
  • Psychographic characteristics
  • Values
  • Personality & lifestyle
  • Benefit perceptions / product benefit
  • Attitudes & perception
  • Preferences, motives & intentions
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx234 / 274
6.3 · SegmentationBenefit Segmentation

Benefit Segmentation


The benefit that consumers expect from products is considered one of the most relevant segmentation bases of all:

… The benefits which people are seeking in consuming a given product are the basic reasons for the existence of true market segments. Thus, benefit is the most relevant segmentation base.

— Haley, 1968

… Benefit is one of the most popular bases of segmentation — for the purpose of market understanding, positioning, the development of new product concepts as well as advertising and distribution strategies. All of this owing to its actionability.

— Wind, 1978
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx235 / 274
6.3 · SegmentationEvaluation of Bases

Evaluation of Segmentation Bases


Type of base Identifi-
ability
Substan-
tiality
Accessi-
bility
Stability Action-
ability
Behavioral
relevance
1 · General, observable++++++++
2 · Specific, observable
Purchase+++++
Usage++++++
3 · General, not observable
Personality±±±
Lifestyle±±±
Psychographic characteristics±±±
4 · Specific, not observable
Psychographic characteristics±+++±
Perception±++
Benefit or benefit perceptions+++++++
Intentions++±++

Highlighted — the most promising bases in practice: In combination they best cover the segmentation criteria.

++very suitable +suitable ±conditional unsuitable
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx236 / 274
6.3 · SegmentationCluster Profiles · "Christmas Trees"

How do the segments differ?


SpeedOpening hoursServiceProximity / locationFamily-friendlyRegular spotDeliveryTime savingsEnjoymentQualityValue for moneyLow priceHealthy eatingAtmosphere1CLUSTER111111111111112CLUSTER222222222222223CLUSTER333333333333334CLUSTER44444444444444
Trunk = overall mean across all respondents Branch (dashed) = cluster mean ± 1 standard deviation Order top → bottom: F-ratio descending (top best-separating) Schematic illustration to demonstrate the principle
At the top are the characteristics with the highest F-ratio — small dispersion, clear position relative to the trunk: they separate the segments best. Toward the bottom the dispersion grows, the clusters overlap — separating power decreases.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx237 / 274
6.3 · SegmentationParadox

Benefit Segmentation Paradox


When segmenting by expected benefit, one must clearly distinguish between two types of variables:

Type (i) · Separating

Discriminating variables

Important for separating the sample into internally homogeneous segments.

Type (ii) · Understanding

Driver variables

Important because they represent the benefit or characteristics that respondents demand most within each segment.

It is tempting to assume that the two are the same. Sometimes yes — but most of the time not: The "drivers" often do not vary between segments at all and have no discriminating power (e.g. price, quality).
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx238 / 274
Chapter 6 · Advanced Techniques Section Overview
6
Chapter

Advanced Techniques of Market Analysis

Some Useful Concepts
6.1Conjoint Analysis
6.2Market Simulations
6.3Segmentation
6.4Perceptual Positioning Maps
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx239 / 274
6.4 · Perceptual Positioning MapsPositioning

Positioning


Positioning

Positioning aligns all marketing activities with the preference structures of potential customers — taking into account the competing products.

Objective: to design the company's offerings so that the actual characteristics as perceived by customers are brought into alignment with the desired target characteristics.

A red apple among green apples
Like the red apple among the green ones: a clearly distinguishable position.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx240 / 274
6.4 · Perceptual Positioning MapsThe Role of Perception

The Role of Perception


The same respondents, the same colas — only the knowledge of the brand changes. The preference flips:

Diet PepsiDiet Coke

Blind test

Respondents don't know which cola they are drinking
Diet Pepsi
51 %
Diet Coke
44 %
No preference
5 %

"Open" test

Respondents know which cola they are drinking
Diet Pepsi
23 %
Diet Coke
65 %
No preference
12 %
Blind, Pepsi wins — with brand knowledge, Coke wins. It's not the product that decides, but perception.
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx241 / 274
6.4 · Perceptual Positioning MapsBasic concept

Perceptual Positioning Maps


Perceptual map of beer brands with attribute vectors
Budget
Premium
Strong
Light
Blue-collar
Full-bodied
Strong
Popular among
men
For the
special
occasion
Dining out
Premium
Good value
for money
Affordable
Pale
Light
Not
filling
Popular among
women

Perceptual positioning maps depict the positions of competing products, brands or companies in a "virtual" attribute space — the way consumers perceive the entire product category.

Axes

The latent product attributes that differentiate best.

Vectors

Indicate the direction and strength of perceived product attributes.

Distances

Between two alternatives correspond to the degree of their perceived (dis)similarity.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx242 / 274
6.4 · Perceptual Positioning MapsObjective of Positioning

Objective of Positioning


Horsepower Comfort Ideal point / Ideal position Product A Product B

The objective of positioning is to occupy such a position in consumers' perception that is:

  • as close to the ideal point as possible, and
  • as far from the competition as possible.

Each axis is a latent attribute; each product occupies a perceived position.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx243 / 274
6.4 · Perceptual Positioning MapsExample: Armchair Designs

Perceptual map of armchair designs


Perceptual map of 100 armchair designs with attribute vectors
Complicated
Emotional
Exaggerated
Light
Modern
Simple
Rational
Realistic
Heavy
Traditional
Source: Chuang & Chen (2008), International Journal of Design
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx244 / 274
6.4 · Perceptual Positioning MapsExample: Beer Brands

Perceptual Positioning Maps


Perceptual map of beer brands with attribute vectors
Budget
Premium
Strong
Light
Blue-collar
Full-bodied
Strong
Popular among
men
For the
special
occasion
Dining out
Premium
Good value
for money
Affordable
Pale
Light
Not
filling
Popular among
women
Source: Moore / Pessemier (1993), p. 145
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx245 / 274
6.4 · Perceptual Positioning MapsCompetitive intensity

Perceptual Positioning Maps


Competitive intensity

The closer the brands are, the more similar they are in consumers' perception — the stronger ("more direct") the competition.

Perceptual map of beer brands
Budget
Premium
Strong
Light
Blue-collar
Full-bodied
Strong
Popular among
men
For the
special
occasion
Dining out
Premium
Good value
for money
Affordable
Pale
Light
Not
filling
Popular among
women
Relatively strong competition
Equal distance = similar competitive intensity
Relatively weak competition
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx246 / 274
6.4 · Perceptual Positioning MapsAttribute vectors

Perceptual Positioning Maps


Attribute vectors

Consumers' perception of brands: The farther a brand is from the origin along an attribute vector, the more strongly this attribute is expressed in it.

Perceptual map of beer brands
Budget
Premium
Strong
Light
Blue-collar
Full-bodied
Strong
Popular among
men
For the
special
occasion
Dining out
Premium
Good value
for money
Affordable
Pale
Light
Not
filling
Popular among
women
The most popular beer among men
The least popular beer among men
Equal popularity among women, difference among men
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx247 / 274
6.4 · Perceptual Positioning MapsRelationships between attributes

Perceptual Positioning Maps


Relationships between attributes

The smaller the angle between attribute vectors, the higher their pairwise correlation.

Perceptual map of beer brands
Budget
Premium
Strong
Light
Blue-collar
Full-bodied
Strong
Popular among
men
For the
special
occasion
Dining out
Premium
Good value
for money
Affordable
Pale
Light
Not
filling
Popular among
women
Equal popularity among men, strong difference among women
Equal popularity among women, difference among men
Brands popular among men tend to be strong
Right angle ⇒ popularity among men says nothing about popularity among women
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx248 / 274
6.4 · Perceptual Positioning MapsLength = degree of differentiation

Perceptual Positioning Maps


The length of the attribute vector indicates its degree of differentiation

The longer the vector, the more strongly this attribute differentiates between the beers.

Good value for money
Popular among men
Consumers can "Popular among men" differentiate the brands better on the dimension "Good value for money".
Perceptual map of beer brands
Budget
Premium
Strong
Light
Blue-collar
Full-bodied
Strong
Popular among
men
For the
special
occasion
Dining out
Premium
Good value
for money
Affordable
Pale
Light
Not
filling
Popular among
women
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx249 / 274
6.4 · Perceptual Positioning MapsAxes = strongest differentiation

Perceptual Positioning Maps


Axes differentiate most strongly

Axes are "virtual" attribute vectors that differentiate most strongly. Their label is usually derived from the neighboring vectors.

Perceptual map of beer brands
Budget
Premium
Strong
Light
Blue-collar
Full-bodied
Strong
Popular among
men
For the
special
occasion
Dining out
Premium
Good value
for money
Affordable
Pale
Light
Not
filling
Popular among
women
Point in roughly the same direction; correlate both statistically and in content
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx250 / 274
6.4 · Perceptual Positioning Maps… and Segmentation

Perceptual Positioning Maps


Perceptual Positioning Maps and Segmentation

Straightforward assessment of segment potential and attractiveness; straightforward formulation of positioning strategies, statements and advertising campaigns.

Possible themes for advertising campaigns:

Segment A: Strong beer for strong men.
Segment B: Real ladies drink premium light beer on special occasions.
Segment C: Light lager — good beer at a good price.
Perceptual Positioning Map of Beer Brands
Budget
Premium
Strong
Light
Working class
Full-bodied
Strong
Popular among
men
For the
special
occasion
Dining out
Premium
Good value
for money
Inexpensive
Light lager
Light
Not
filling
Popular among
women
Segment
A
Segment
C
Segment
B
Segment C's preferences are unmet → an open market gap?
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx251 / 274
6.4 · Perceptual Positioning MapsExample: Pain Relievers

Example: Perception Map of Pain Relievers


Test yourself:

Which medications face the strongest competition?
How can these medications best be described from a marketing perspective in terms of just one of the attributes shown?
Which two attributes best communicate a medication's advantages?
Can a company justify a higher price on the grounds that its medication is gentler than all the others?
Which attribute (other than “Good for children”) should a manufacturer of children's medications optimize first?
Perceptual Positioning Map of Pain Reliever Brands
Gentle
Fair price
Good for children
Hard to swallow
Long-lasting effect
Effectiveness
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx252 / 274
6.4 · Perceptual Positioning MapsExample: Pain Relievers · Solution

Example: Perception Map of Pain Relievers


Test yourself:

Which medications face the strongest competition?Tylenol and Motrin (closest to each other)
One attribute for the best description?“Gentle” — farthest from the origin along this vector
Which two attributes best communicate the advantages?“Gentle” and “Effectiveness” (the longest vectors)
Higher price because gentler than all the others?No! In perception, these attributes are independent of one another.
Which attribute (other than “Good for children”) to optimize first?“Hard to swallow” — smallest angle to “Good for children”.
Perceptual Positioning Map of Pain Reliever Brands with Attribute Vectors
Gentle
Fair price
Good for children
Hard to swallow
Long-lasting effect
Effectiveness
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx253 / 274
6.4 · Perceptual Positioning MapsFoods

On Importance of Perception in Positioning


A curious but typical case

40 foods: subjective perception vs. objective attributes.

Perceptual Positioning Map of 40 Foods: objective vs. subjectively perceived attributes
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx254 / 274
6.4 · Perceptual Positioning MapsFoods · Conclusion

On Importance of Perception in Positioning


A curious but typical case

40 foods: subjective perception vs. objective attributes.

The perception or assessment of many food attributes often has nothing or very little to do with the actual content of these attributes.

Perceptual Positioning Map of 40 Foods with color-highlighted attribute vectors
QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx255 / 274
Chapter 7 Chapter Overview
7
Chapter

Reporting Results

Reporting & Presentation — Stage 6 of the research process

Managers should easily understand the report, trust the results and know which actions they should take.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx256 / 274
Chapter 7 · Reporting ResultsWhere It Fits

The final stage of the research process


1Problem definition
2Research approach
3Research design
4Fieldwork / data collection
5Data preparation & analysis
6Report & presentation
Final step

The report is the most frequently underestimated step of the research process.

Full value or lost

Even a methodologically perfect study loses its value if the results are communicated poorly.

Goal

Present results so that they feed directly into the decision — not just summarize, but interpret.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx257 / 274
Chapter 7 · Reporting ResultsSignificance

Why the report and presentation matter


Bound printed research report
Tangible product

After the project ends, often only the written report remains — it serves as a historical record of the entire study.

Chess king as a symbol of the management decision
Basis for decision

The management decision rests on the report. A weak finish devalues all the preceding research.

Handshake as the only point of contact between manager and researcher
Sole point of contact

Many managers experience only the report and the talk — and judge by them the quality of the entire project.

Cycle arrow as a symbol of follow-up assignments
Basis for follow-up assignments

The decision for future research or the same service provider hinges on the perceived benefit.

QUESTIONSTAR · Dr. Paul Marx258 / 274
Chapter 7 · Reporting ResultsProcess

From data result to follow-up


Interpretation of the data analysis
Conclusions & recommendations
Report writing
Oral presentation
Reading by the client
Research follow-up
Interpret rather than summarize

The results should serve directly as input into the decision-making; where useful, conclusions are drawn and actionable recommendations given.

Align in advance

Discuss the key findings, conclusions and recommendations before writing with the decision-makers — this ensures fit, acceptance and delivery dates.

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Chapter 7 · Report FormatStructure

The typical structure — eleven elements


Front matter
  • Cover letter
  • Title page
  • Table of contents
  • Executive Summary
Main body
  • Problem definition
  • Approach & research design
  • Data analysis
  • Results
Closing
  • Conclusions & recommendations
  • Limitations & caveats
+ Standalone Appendix — Authorization, questionnaire, sampling details, technical tables.
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Chapter 7 · Report FormatFront Matter

What comes before the report itself


Cover Letter

Delivers the report, sums up the project experience (without results) and points to necessary follow-up steps.

Title Page

Title in a manager's tone rather than "research-speak"; details on researcher and client, date.

Table of Contents

Main and sub-headings with page numbers; then lists of tables, figures, appendices.

Executive Summary
Often the only part management reads.

Briefly describes problem, approach and design and devotes one section to the key results, conclusions and recommendations. Written last — only once the entire report is finished.

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Chapter 7 · Report FormatBody & Closing

The substantive core


1
Problem Definition

Background, conversations with decision-makers and experts, then a clear management and research question.

2
Approach & Design

Theoretical foundations, models, hypotheses; methods presented graphically and non-technically, details in the appendix.

3
Data Analysis

Justify the analysis plan and techniques, explain them in simple terms with examples.

4
Results

The longest part. Structured by form of analysis, data collection method or objectives — tied to the information needs.

5
Conclusions & Recommendations

Don't just summarize: interpret and — where possible — derive actionable recommendations.

6
Limitations & Appendix

Name limitations in a balanced way, without undermining confidence; appendix with authorization, questionnaire, sample.

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Chapter 7 · Report WritingPrinciples

Principles of good writing


Reader-oriented

Write for the decision-makers; avoid jargon, put technical terms in the appendix.

Easy to follow

Logical structure, headings, short clear sentences; have outsiders proofread it.

Professional

Careful design; vary typography — but only as far as it supports understanding.

Objective

Present design, results and conclusions accurately, do not tailor them to the expectations of management.

Text ↔ Graphics

Reinforce key information with tables/figures — and bring figures to life with quotes.

Concise

Leave out everything unnecessary — but never at the expense of completeness.

Espresso cup"The readers of your reports are busy people — hardly anyone can balance report, coffee and dictionary all at once."
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Chapter 7 · VisualizationTables

Guidelines for tables


  • Number & Title — a unique Arabic number, a short descriptive title, referenceable in the text.
  • Arrangement of Data — order by the most important aspect: time, magnitude or alphabetically.
  • Unit of Measurement — state the base clearly (column vs. row percentages, sample size).
  • Reading Aids — lines, shading or white space guide the eye across the row.
  • Headings, Stubs, Footnotes — column heads, left margin column, explanatory footnotes.
  • Source — for secondary data, name the data source.
Example · Table 25.1 — GlobalCash
EMU ImpactTotalSingleDualMultiple
Existing relationships46 %41 %45 %48 %
Fewer banks (Eurozone)33 %31 %30 %35 %
One main bank coordinates33 %43 %39 %29 %
Fewer banks per country22 %15 %17 %25 %
Stub = left margin column · Heading = column head · % as column percentages
Source: GlobalCash-Europe98, Statistical Report for Europe, p. 137
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Chapter 7 · VisualizationChart Types

Chart types at a glance


Maps

Geographic and positioning maps show locations, customers, competitors — the basis of geodemographics.

Pie Chart

Simple relative frequencies. Not for time series or multiple variables.

Line Chart

Connects data points — ideal for trends over time; multiple series comparable.

Bar / Histogram

Shows absolute/relative magnitudes and differences. Histogram = vertical frequencies.

Stacked / grouped

Few data points, to represent differences between groups qualitatively.

Diagrams & Flowcharts

Represent process steps or the linking of qualitative ideas.

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Chapter 7 · VisualizationTwo rules

Two rules you won't forget


Pie Chart
max. 7 segments

Suitable for simple relative frequencies — not for time series or relationships between multiple variables.

Caution
No 3D charts

3D distorts relative magnitudes and confuses the audience. Programs offer many 3D options — hardly any presents data clearly and without distortion.

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Chapter 7 · Oral PresentationThe Talk

The talk shapes the first impression


Preparation is everything

Script/outline after the report, rehearse repeatedly.

Tailor to the audience

Know the background, interest and stake of the listeners.

Visual media

Flip chart, projector, software — never lose sight of the message.

Body language & voice

Vary gestures, eye contact, volume and pace; a strong close.

Acoustic guitar as a metaphor: the tool alone does not carry the performance
"My paradigm is the guitar." Technique is only a tool — a good guitar alone does not carry the performance. You do."Predictability precedes boredom."
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Chapter 7 · After the PresentationFollow-up

Research Follow-up


1
Support the client

Explain technical parts, help with implementation, discuss follow-up projects and integrate results into the MIS/DSS.

2
Evaluate the project

While it's still fresh, ask critically: "Could the project have been carried out more effectively or efficiently?"

Trust as the key

The quality of the personal interaction between manager and researcher shapes the perceived quality of the report itself. Trust influences relationship quality, engagement, retention — and ultimately how strongly the market research is actually used.

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Chapter 7 · InternationalCountries & Languages

Reports across countries and languages


Multiple versions

For management in different countries and languages, separate, reader-specific versions — comparable in content, possibly different in format.

Cultural sensitivity

When presenting, observe cultural norms — humor is not appropriate everywhere. Adapt recommendations to be country-specific where needed.

Practical relevance

Language versions maintained in parallel (e.g. DE / RU / KZ) are not a translation problem but a reporting problem: field-by-field localization, comparable metrics, consistent terms.

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Chapter 7 · EthicsIntegrity

Integrity in interpretation and reporting


Scales as a symbol of integrity and objectivity
33%

of the market researchers surveyed name questions of research integrity as their most difficult ethical problem.

Typical violations
  • Ignoring relevant data
  • Compromising the research design
  • Deliberately misusing statistics
  • Falsifying numbers or altering results
  • Reinterpreting results to favor a particular view
  • Withholding information

Resist the temptation: Shaping ambiguous findings into a "coherent, well-formed story" is satisfying — but unethical. Maintain objectivity, even when nothing significant emerges.

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Chapter 7 · Reporting todayPush → Pull

From "Push" to "Pull"


Back then
  • Printed report, "push"
  • Password-protected intranet reports
  • First multimedia reports on the web
  • Searchable, retrievable worldwide
Today
  • Interactive dashboards, "pull"
  • Real-time data & live filters
  • Crosstabs and weighting on demand
  • Linked reports, rules for robustness
Interactive analysis dashboard on a tablet
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Chapter 7 · SummaryTakeaways

The key takeaways


1
Last step, full leverage

The report and presentation determine the perceived value of the entire study.

2
Interpret, don't just recite

Prepare results as decision input — with actionable recommendations.

3
Readers first

Avoid jargon, structure clearly, let text and visualization reinforce each other.

4
Visualization with discipline

≤ 7 pie segments, be careful with 3D, label tables cleanly.

5
People before technology

The talk lives from the presenter — not from the slide.

6
Integrity & follow-up

Stay objective, follow up with the client, evaluate your own project.

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Principles of Survey ResearchAbout the Author

About the Author


Dr. Paul Marx

Dr. Paul Marx was a Professor of Marketing at the University of Siegen, where he conducted research particularly on e-commerce, preference measurement, new media, big data, and recommender systems. He studied aero- and hydrodynamics as well as management at Novosibirsk State Technical University (Russia) and subsequently held senior positions in marketing. In 2000 he moved to Germany, deepened his studies in economics at the University of Hannover, and founded the online service for online surveys eQuestionnaire — today QUESTIONSTAR. Paul earned his doctorate at the Bauhaus University of Weimar and published his research in leading international journals, including the Journal of Marketing.

Motaev Marx Motaev GbR Vahrenwalder Str. 253 · 30179 Hannover · Germany T +49 511 89 86 15 34 E info@questionstar.com
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Principles of Survey ResearchSources

References & License


References
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  • Bruner, G. C. (2012): "Marketing Scales Handbook", Vol. 6.
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  • Malhotra, N. K. (2020): "Marketing Research: An Applied Orientation", Prentice Hall, 6th edition.
  • Marx, P. (1979–2026) — own international experience.
  • Moore, W. L., Pessemier, E. A. (1993), p. 145.
  • Myers, J. H. (1996): "Segmentation & Positioning for Strategic Marketing Decisions", South Western Educ. Pub.
  • Noelle-Neumann, E., Petersen, T. (1998): "Alle, nicht jeder. Einführung in die Methoden der Demoskopie", Springer, p. 192.
  • Reichheld, F. (2003): "The One Number You Need to Grow", Harvard Business Review.
  • Reichheld, F., Markey, R. (2011): "The Ultimate Question 2.0", Harvard Business Review Press.
  • Sullivan III, M. (2010): "Statistics: Informed Decisions Using Data", Pearson, 3rd edition.
  • Visocky O'Grady, J. & K. (2009): "The Information Design Handbook", HOW Books.
  • Course "Statistics I" of Elgin Community College.
License & Disclaimer
CC BY-NC-SA 3.0

This presentation is subject to the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike license, unless otherwise stated. Any use or distribution requires a reference to this presentation and the explicit mention of Dr. Paul Marx and QUESTIONSTAR.

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